SPAIN LA LIGA
09.05.2026 19:00
Anoeta
Referee: A. Ruiz
Real Sociedad
Match Timeline
Real Betis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
Antony · Assist: S. Altimira
Real Betis
47'
A. Ezzalzouli
Real Betis
🔄
54'
C. Soler ↔ L. Sucic
Real Sociedad
🔄
54'
T. Kubo ↔ P. Marin
Real Sociedad
🔄
59'
Antony ↔ R. Riquelme
Real Betis
🟨
62'
Ander Barrenetxea
Real Sociedad
VAR
64'
Jon Gorrotxategi
Real Sociedad
🟨
64'
Aitor Ruibal
Real Betis
🔄
69'
P. Fornals ↔ Isco
Real Betis
🔄
69'
S. Altimira ↔ S. Amrabat
Real Betis
🔄
69'
R. Rodriguez ↔ H. Bellerin
Real Betis
🔄
77'
A. Elustondo ↔ G. Carrera
Real Sociedad
🔄
78'
Cucho Hernandez ↔ N. Deossa
Real Betis
79'
O. Oskarsson · Assist: S. Gomez
Real Sociedad
🟨
83'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Real Sociedad
🟨
90+6'
Aitor Ruibal
Real Betis
🟨
90'
Diego Llorente
Real Betis
🟥
90+6'
Aitor Ruibal
Real Betis
90'
M. Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Real Betis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad Win 58.3%
Draw 0%
Real Betis Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad1.46
Real Betis1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WWDLW
68 GF / 60 GA
Real Betis Real Betis
WLDWL
87 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
30
BTTS Yes
31
25
Over 2.5
26
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 42 matches
Real Betis Real Betis 51 matches
Real Sociedad Statistic Real Betis
17 Wins 23
12 Draws 17
13 Losses 11
68 Goals For 87
60 Goals Against 62
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
30 BTTS Yes 31
33 Over 1.5 45
25 Over 2.5 26
17 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 15
5 Failed To Score 8
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.55
12.52 Total Shots 13.49
5.52 Corners 4.06
49% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Betis's more proactive style and Real Sociedad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Sociedad expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Betis in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Betis having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Betis. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Real Sociedad Analysis

Real Sociedad sit 9 with 43 points after 34 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 52:53 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Oyarzabal (14 goals), G. Guedes (8 goals), B. Mendez (6 goals), with creative support from A. Barrenetxea (5 assists), G. Guedes (4 assists), T. Kubo (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Betis Analysis

Real Betis arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 53 points after 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 14 draws, and 7 losses, while the 52:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cucho Hernández (10 goals), A. Ezzalzouli (8 goals), Antony (7 goals), with creative support from A. Ezzalzouli (8 assists), Antony (6 assists), P. Fornals (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad won 3 times, Real Betis won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:22 from Real Sociedad's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1 / Real Betis 4-3-3
Missing players: Real Sociedad 6, Real Betis 2
H2H summary: Real Sociedad wins 3, draws 4, Real Betis wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2