COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio Romelio Martinez

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barranquilla Win 49.2%
Draw 21.3%
Popayan Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barranquilla1.25
Popayan1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barranquilla Barranquilla
WWDLW
30 GF / 32 GA
Popayan Popayan
WLDWL
18 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barranquilla Barranquilla 25 matches
Popayan Popayan 19 matches
Barranquilla Statistic Popayan
7 Wins 3
7 Draws 8
11 Losses 8
30 Goals For 18
32 Goals Against 25
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Popayan having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Popayan.

Barranquilla Analysis

Barranquilla are currently 8 in the standings with 28 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 30:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Popayan Analysis

With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 14, Popayan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 17:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Barranquilla won 6 times, Popayan won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Barranquilla's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
H2H summary: Barranquilla wins 6, draws 5, Popayan wins 3
Last matches: Barranquilla
25.08.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
20.08.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Santander
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Depor FC
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Orsomarso
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Bogota FC
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Bogota FC
2
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
3
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Envigado
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Santander
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Tigres FC
1
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Leones FC
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cundinamarca
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Bogota FC
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Ind. Yumbo
0
1
L
04.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
26.02.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Popayan
2
0
W
Last matches: Popayan
25.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
06.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
07.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Ind. Yumbo
0
0
D
31.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
1
D
27.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
3
3
D
14.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Leones FC
2
1
W
10.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Envigado
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
18.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Orsomarso
2
2
D
09.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
2
L
26.01.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
0
1
L
24.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
H2H: Barranquilla vs Popayan
26.02.26
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
2
W
20.10.25
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
1
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
0
D
17.08.24
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
1
D
26.02.24
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
1
0
L
02.10.23
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
0
W
25.04.23
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
1
2
W
03.08.22
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
1
D
11.04.22
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
0
D
02.10.21
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
0
W
22.01.21
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
1
L
24.07.20
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
0
D
11.02.20
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
1
2
W
25.08.19
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
3
1
W
10.03.19
H2H
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
0
D
Last matches: Barranquilla
02.08.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Depor FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Envigado
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Santander
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Leones FC
3
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Bogota FC
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Internacional Palmira
0
4
L
04.02.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Patriotas
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Barranquilla
Orsomarso
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Tigres FC
2
2
D
10.10.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
3
1
W
01.10.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
15.09.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Cucuta
1
2
L
01.09.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Internacional Palmira
1
4
L
19.08.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Orsomarso
0
2
L
26.07.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Patriotas
3
1
W
13.07.25
Pri
Barranquilla
Depor FC
1
2
L
H2H at home: Barranquilla
10.05.25
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
0
D
17.08.24
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
1
D
02.10.23
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
0
W
03.08.22
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
1
D
02.10.21
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
0
W
22.01.21
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
1
L
24.07.20
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
3
1
W
Last matches: Popayan
06.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
1
3
L
24.07.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
3
3
D
10.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Envigado
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
2
L
20.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
15.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
Popayan
Jaguares
1
1
D
13.10.25
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Popayan
Orsomarso
3
0
W
16.09.25
Pri
Popayan
Huila
1
0
W
29.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
2
2
D
17.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Cucuta
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
0
1
L
H2H away: Popayan
10.05.25
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
0
D
17.08.24
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
1
D
02.10.23
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
0
L
03.08.22
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
1
D
02.10.21
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
1
0
L
22.01.21
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
1
W
24.07.20
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Barranquilla
Popayan
3
1
L

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)