🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
America First Field
Referee: I. Elfath
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
6'
S. Solans · Assist: D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
14'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: L. Morgan
San Diego
37'
S. Solans · Assist: Z. Gozo
Real Salt Lake
🟨
45+5'
Bryce Duke
San Diego
45'
M. Guilavogui · Assist: S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
B. Duke ↔ A. Mighten
San Diego
🔄
46'
A. Godoy ↔ P. Soma
San Diego
🟨
51'
Morgan Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🔄
66'
O. Valakari ↔ D. Vazquez
San Diego
🔄
66'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ B. B. Zamble
San Diego
66'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🔄
70'
D. Luna ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
70'
D. Yedlin ↔ S. Junqua
Real Salt Lake
🔄
77'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
77'
S. Spierings ↔ G. Dillon
Real Salt Lake
🔄
82'
M. Guilavogui ↔ Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
84'
L. Morgan ↔ A. Pellegrino
San Diego

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 97.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
97.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 70.8%
Draw 6.4%
San Diego Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.8
San Diego1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
18 GF / 13 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
8
5.67
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 9 matches
San Diego San Diego 12 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic San Diego
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
18 Goals For 23
13 Goals Against 18
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
5.67 Shots On Goal 4.45
17.17 Total Shots 10.36
5.67 Corners 4.55
44.8% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Real Salt Lake arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 13 points compared to San Diego in 8 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Diego. Real Salt Lake come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 13 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:8, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Solans (3 goals), A. Hezarkhani (2 goals), Z. Gozo (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (2 assists), J. Sanabria (2 assists), M. Guilavogui (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Eneli, A. Piol, J. J. Arias unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

San Diego Analysis

So far, San Diego have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Ingvartsen (4 goals), A. Dreyer (3 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (3 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), O. Valakari (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with C. McVey, A. Reyes, A. Alvarado Jr unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 2 times, San Diego won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 10, San Diego 10
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 2, draws 1, San Diego wins 1
Stats
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
San Diego San Diego
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 8
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
558 Total passes 602
493 Passes accurate 527
3.27 expected_goals 1.90
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Real Salt Lake
Formation
San Diego
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
Z. Gozo
🎯
Z. Gozo
D. Yedlin
D. Yedlin
J. Glad
J. Glad
L. Engel
L. Engel
A. Katranis
A. Katranis
D. Luna
🎯
D. Luna
S. Spierings
S. Spierings
N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan
M. Guilavogui
M. Guilavogui
S. Solans
⚽ 2 🎯
S. Solans
D. Ferree
D. Ferree
B. Duke
B. Duke
O. Soe
O. Soe
M. Duah
M. Duah
O. Verhoeven
O. Verhoeven
A. Godoy
A. Godoy
J. Tverskov
J. Tverskov
O. Valakari
O. Valakari
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
L. Morgan
🎯
L. Morgan
Real Salt Lake 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
72
Z. Gozo
🎯 37'
D
2
D. Yedlin
↓ 70'
D
15
J. Glad
D
4
L. Engel
D
98
A. Katranis
D
10
D. Luna
⚽ 5' 🎯 6' ↓ 70'
M
6
S. Spierings
↓ 77'
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
9
M. Guilavogui
⚽ 45' ↓ 82' 🟨 51'
M
22
S. Solans
⚽ 6' ⚽ 37' 🎯 45' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Stajduhar
G
7
P. Ruiz
M
11
D. Marczuk
F
39
A. Hezarkhani
↑ 70'
F
17
V. Olatunji
↑ 77'
F
29
S. Junqua
↑ 70'
D
23
Z. Booth
↑ 82'
M
27
G. Dillon
↑ 77'
M
San Diego 4-3-3
Starting XI
18
D. Ferree
G
21
B. Duke
↓ 46' 🟨 45+5'
D
17
O. Soe
D
26
M. Duah
D
33
O. Verhoeven
D
20
A. Godoy
↓ 46'
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
8
O. Valakari
↓ 66'
M
10
A. Dreyer
⚽ 66'
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
⚽ 14' ↓ 66'
F
9
L. Morgan
🎯 14' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
C. J. dos Santos
G
90
A. Pellegrino
↑ 84'
F
19
D. Vazquez
↑ 66'
M
29
A. Saidi
F
24
E. Boateng
M
77
A. Mighten
↑ 46'
F
15
P. Soma
↑ 46'
M
14
B. B. Zamble
↑ 66'
F
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
Last matches: San Diego
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Diego
CF Montreal
5
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
2
0
W
H2H: Real Salt Lake vs San Diego
19.04.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
22.03.26
H2H
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
26.04.25
H2H
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
1
3
W
09.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
1
3
L
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Real Salt Lake
19.04.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
09.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
1
3
L
Last matches: San Diego
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
H2H away: San Diego
19.04.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
L
09.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
1
3
W

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Real Salt Lake 10 missing
-
E. Eneli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Piol
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. J. Arias
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
T. Wolff
Questionable Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
D. Yedlin
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Hezarkhani
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Sanabria
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Z. Booth
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
K. Henry
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Barea
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
San Diego 10 missing
-
C. McVey
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
A. Reyes
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
A. Alvarado Jr
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
K. Sargeant
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
A. Pellegrino
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
I. Pilcher
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
W. Eisner
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
P. Sisniega
Questionable Back Injury
OUT
-
L. Bombino
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
W. Kumado
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT