BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: E. Rodriguez
Real Oruro
Match Timeline
Independiente Petrolero
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
C. Urdininea
Independiente Petrolero
🟨
20'
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
Real Oruro
🔄
31'
D. Castellon ↔ C. Chore
Real Oruro
🟨
36'
A. Rivera
Real Oruro
🟨
42'
S. Torres
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
46'
J. Montenegro ↔ J. P. Gomez
Real Oruro
🔄
61'
Y. Vallejos ↔ D. Pinto
Real Oruro
🔄
61'
J. Villavicencio ↔ K. Sanchez
Independiente Petrolero
🟨
69'
A. Quinonez
Real Oruro
🔄
69'
Gean ↔ A. Mercado
Independiente Petrolero
70'
G. Cristaldo
Independiente Petrolero
🟨
75'
A. Mercado
Independiente Petrolero
84'
Willie
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
85'
A. F. Bravo Adan ↔ H. Tifner
Real Oruro
🔄
85'
S. Garcia ↔ J. Velez
Real Oruro
🔄
90+1'
C. Urdininea ↔ J. Bejarano
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
90+1'
Willie ↔ Jeferson Carioca
Independiente Petrolero
90'
A. Mercado · Assist: G. Cristaldo
Independiente Petrolero

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Oruro Win 45.3%
Draw 23.8%
Independiente Petrolero Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Oruro1.94
Independiente Petrolero1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Oruro Real Oruro
WWDLW
32 GF / 38 GA
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
WLDWL
15 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
15
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
11
3.09
Shots on Goal
2.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Oruro Real Oruro 16 matches
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 13 matches
Real Oruro Statistic Independiente Petrolero
6 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
32 Goals For 15
38 Goals Against 24
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
15 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
3.09 Shots On Goal 2.73
9.18 Total Shots 6.27
3.18 Corners 2.27
27.7% Ball Possession 24.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Independiente Petrolero. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independiente Petrolero arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Independiente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Oruro Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Real Oruro have collected 14 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 22:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independiente Petrolero Analysis

Independiente Petrolero sit 11 with 12 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 15:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro won 0 times, Independiente Petrolero won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Real Oruro's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Real Oruro 4-3-3 / Independiente Petrolero 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Oruro wins 0, draws 1, Independiente Petrolero wins 2

Lineups

Real Oruro
Formation
Independiente Petrolero
A. Arancibia
A. Arancibia
F. Gatti
F. Gatti
L. Corulo
L. Corulo
D. Castellon
D. Castellon
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
S. Garcia
S. Garcia
A. Rivera
A. Rivera
A. F. Bravo Adan
A. F. Bravo Adan
J. Montenegro
J. Montenegro
A. Quinonez
A. Quinonez
Y. Vallejos
Y. Vallejos
J. Gutierrez
J. Gutierrez
S. Torres
S. Torres
D. Navarro
D. Navarro
L. Crescencio
L. Crescencio
G. Mendoza
G. Mendoza
G. Cristaldo
🎯
G. Cristaldo
C. Urdininea
C. Urdininea
D. Rojas
D. Rojas
J. Villavicencio
J. Villavicencio
Willie
Willie
Gean
Gean
Real Oruro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Arancibia
33
F. Gatti
5
L. Corulo
15
D. Castellon
↓ 31'
31
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
🟨 20'
55
S. Garcia
↓ 85'
6
A. Rivera
🟨 36'
65
A. F. Bravo Adan
↓ 85'
50
J. Montenegro
↓ 46'
10
A. Quinonez
🟨 69'
19
Y. Vallejos
↓ 61'
Substitutes
13
I. Pena
16
C. Chore
↑ 31'
23
Y. Villegas
26
H. Tifner
↑ 85'
9
D. Pinto
↑ 61'
32
R. Mendez
40
F. Vargas
14
B. Puma
48
J. Berrios
18
Y. Calle
77
C. Siles
70
J. P. Gomez
↑ 46'
37
J. Velez
↑ 85'
Independiente Petrolero 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Gutierrez
2
S. Torres
🟨 42'
27
D. Navarro
3
L. Crescencio
34
G. Mendoza
19
G. Cristaldo
⚽ 70' 🎯 90'
14
C. Urdininea
↓ 90+1' 🟨 9'
6
D. Rojas
59
J. Villavicencio
↓ 61'
93
Willie
⚽ 84' ↓ 90+1'
9
Gean
↓ 69'
Substitutes
12
J. Vera
20
A. Mercado
⚽ 90' ↑ 69' 🟨 75'
15
J. Bejarano
↑ 90+1'
28
W. Soleto
68
D. Morales
26
K. Sanchez
↑ 61'
4
L. Rodriguez
22
R. E. Rocabado Concha
99
Jeferson Carioca
↑ 90+1'
38
K. Taborga Paz
77
R. Zamora
82
D. Claros
Last matches: Real Oruro
23.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
2
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Oriente Petrolero
2
3
L
07.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
04.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
4
L
25.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Guabirá
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
4
1
W
14.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Always Ready
0
6
L
11.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
1
W
08.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
1
W
13.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Aurora
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Potosí
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
2
3
L
23.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
2
5
L
25.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
4
L
10.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
3
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
2
L
Last matches: Independiente Petrolero
22.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
3
L
17.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
2
1
W
04.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Potosí
1
2
L
16.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
3
L
16.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
13.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
4
L
14.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
5
2
W
10.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
07.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
2
L
H2H: Real Oruro vs Independiente Petrolero
01.08.26
H2H
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0
3
L
24.08.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
3
4
L
11.04.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Oruro
23.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
2
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Oriente Petrolero
2
3
L
14.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Always Ready
0
6
L
11.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
1
W
08.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
2
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
2
2
D
07.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
3
1
W
11.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
10
1
W
28.11.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
5
2
W
01.11.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Guabirá
3
6
L
17.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Aurora
5
3
W
24.08.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
3
4
L
02.08.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
3
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
2
L
30.06.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Jorge Wilstermann
3
1
W
14.06.25
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
2
L
H2H at home: Real Oruro
01.08.26
H2H
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0
3
L
24.08.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
3
4
L
Last matches: Independiente Petrolero
22.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
2
1
W
16.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
1
2
L
01.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
16.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
30.11.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
2
L
03.11.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
3
2
W
18.10.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
3
L
23.09.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
4
3
W
10.08.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
29.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
2
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
5
L
07.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
0
4
L
01.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
1
1
D
17.05.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
3
D
H2H away: Independiente Petrolero
01.08.26
H2H
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0
3
W
24.08.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
3
4
W