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17.10.2026 19:00
Real Oruro
Match Timeline
Aurora
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
F. Gatti
Real Oruro
🟨
23'
E. Rivera
Real Oruro
🟨
34'
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
Real Oruro
⚽
41'
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes · Assist: Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz
Real Oruro
🔄
45'
Alfredo·Amarilla ↔ Ivan Huayhuata
Aurora
🔄
45'
Erwin Junior Sanchez ↔ Rodrigo Ramallo
Aurora
🔄
45'
Ronaldo Sánchez ↔ Henry Vaca
Aurora
🔄
54'
Denis Pinto ↔ Juan Montenegro
Real Oruro
🔄
54'
F. Gatti ↔ Angel Quiñonez
Real Oruro
🔄
65'
Hernán Tifner ↔ Raul Ardaya
Real Oruro
🔄
70'
leandro barro ↔ adrian pacheco
Aurora
🔄
70'
Leonardo Viviani ↔ David Alejandro Villca Coria
Aurora
🟨
71'
I. Vidaurre
Aurora
🔄
72'
Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz ↔ Rivaldo Omar Méndez Maraz
Real Oruro
🔄
72'
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes ↔ Juan Pablo Gómez Perez
Real Oruro
🟨
77'
Juan Pablo Gómez Perez
Real Oruro
🟨
83'
David Alejandro Villca Coria
Aurora
🟨
90'
Henry Vaca
Aurora

Real Oruro vs Aurora Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
78.9%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.48 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.7%
1.29 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Oruro Win 21.1%
Draw 26.1%
Aurora Win 52.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Oruro1.63
Aurora1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Oruro Real Oruro
WWDLW
45 GF / 62 GA
Aurora Aurora
WLDWL
36 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.57
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
21
BTTS Yes
16
21
Over 2.5
12
2.95
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Oruro Real Oruro 26 matches
Aurora Aurora 23 matches
Real Oruro Statistic Aurora
9 Wins 7
4 Draws 11
13 Losses 5
45 Goals For 36
62 Goals Against 34
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
21 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 21
21 Over 2.5 12
16 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
2.95 Shots On Goal 4
9.38 Total Shots 10.76
3.29 Corners 3.67
29.8% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Aurora's more proactive style and Real Oruro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aurora. Real Oruro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Oruro expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Aurora in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aurora having the stronger overall control.

Real Oruro Analysis

With 21 points from 20 games and a place of 11, Real Oruro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 32:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Adriel Fernandez (2 goals), A. Quiñonez (2 goals), Y. Vallejos (2 goals), with creative support from Adriel Fernandez (2 assists), J. Montenegro (2 assists), A. Quiñonez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aurora Analysis

So far, Aurora have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 30 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 31:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Ramallo (5 goals), M. Rangel (4 goals), J. Sánchez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Ramallo (4 assists), L. Viviani (2 assists), M. Ortiz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro won 1 times, Aurora won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Real Oruro's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Real Oruro 4-3-3 / Aurora 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Oruro wins 1, draws 2, Aurora wins 0

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 6 1 49:13 36 48
W W W W D
2 21 15 3 3 55:22 33 48
W W W W W
3 21 12 6 3 39:23 16 42
L W W W W
4 22 10 8 4 29:14 15 38
W W W W D
5 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
6 22 7 10 5 33:30 3 31
L D L W W
7 21 8 5 8 33:43 -10 29
L W L D L
8 22 6 10 6 30:23 7 28
D L D W L
9 21 8 4 9 32:30 2 28
D L W W L
10 22 8 3 11 36:51 -15 27
W W L L W
11 22 7 5 10 27:37 -10 26
D L L L L
12 22 6 3 13 29:43 -14 21
W L D W L
13 22 6 3 13 22:42 -20 21
L D W L L
14 22 6 2 14 31:47 -16 20
L L L L W
15 22 5 5 12 16:39 -23 20
W D L L L
16 22 3 8 11 25:39 -14 17
L W L L L