SLOVENIA 1. SNL
13.09.2026 18:15
Referee: R. Obrenovic

Radomlje vs Maribor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.6%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.6%
1.67
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.59
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.29
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Radomlje Win 8.3%
Draw 7.1%
Maribor Win 84.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Radomlje0.94
Maribor1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Radomlje Radomlje
WWDLW
12 GF / 29 GA
Maribor Maribor
WLDWL
22 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
9
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Radomlje Radomlje 16 matches
Maribor Maribor 13 matches
Radomlje Statistic Maribor
1 Wins 4
4 Draws 7
11 Losses 2
12 Goals For 22
29 Goals Against 16
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Maribor's more proactive style and Radomlje's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Maribor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Radomlje sit 10 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maribor having the stronger overall control. Radomlje have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maribor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Radomlje Analysis

Radomlje approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 5 points from 7 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maribor Analysis

Maribor come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 15 points after 7 matches. The return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 13:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Radomlje won 2 times, Maribor won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:38 from Radomlje's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
H2H summary: Radomlje wins 2, draws 5, Maribor wins 8

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 4 4 0 14:6 8 16
D W W D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:9 1 15
W D W L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:8 1 15
L W W W D
4 9 4 2 3 9:6 3 14
W W D W D
5 9 4 1 4 17:14 3 13
W W L L L
6 8 3 2 3 11:11 0 11
L L W L W
7 8 2 3 3 8:8 0 9
D L L W W
8 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L W L L
9 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
D L L W L
10 7 1 2 4 8:13 -5 5
L D L W L
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation