SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
El Sardinero
Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
Racing Santander
Match Timeline
Valladolid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
G. Guliashvili ↔ A. Villalibre
Racing Santander
33'
A. Villalibre
Racing Santander
42'
M. Jaouab
Valladolid
🟥
59'
Carlos Clerc
Valladolid
62'
A. Martin
Racing Santander
🔄
64'
M. Maroto ↔ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
Valladolid
🔄
64'
A. Carvajal ↔ P. Tomeo
Valladolid
🔄
69'
J. Ponceau ↔ I. Alani
Valladolid
🔄
73'
M. Gueye ↔ D. Rodriguez
Racing Santander
73'
A. Martin · Assist: A. Villalibre
Racing Santander
🔄
84'
G. Puerta ↔ M. Sangalli
Racing Santander
🔄
84'
A. Martin ↔ S. Camara
Racing Santander
🔄
84'
J. Latasa ↔ V. Erlien
Valladolid
🔄
84'
R. Martinez ↔ A. Galdeano
Valladolid
🟨
86'
Alvaro Mantilla
Racing Santander
90'
S. Camara · Assist: D. Rodriguez
Racing Santander

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 95.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
95.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Santander Win 95.4%
Draw 0%
Valladolid Win 4.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Santander1.75
Valladolid1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Santander Racing Santander
WWDLW
89 GF / 62 GA
Valladolid Valladolid
WLDWL
43 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
30
BTTS Yes
16
31
Over 2.5
17
5.4
Shots on Goal
3.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Santander Racing Santander 43 matches
Valladolid Valladolid 40 matches
Racing Santander Statistic Valladolid
26 Wins 12
6 Draws 10
11 Losses 18
89 Goals For 43
62 Goals Against 51
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
30 BTTS Yes 16
37 Over 1.5 24
31 Over 2.5 17
22 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 16
5.4 Shots On Goal 3.97
13.02 Total Shots 12.49
5.26 Corners 5.49
48.8% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Racing Santander's more proactive style and Valladolid's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valladolid. Racing Santander come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Racing Santander arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 75 points compared to Valladolid in 15 on 46, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Racing Santander Analysis

Racing Santander approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 75 points after 39 outings. They have recorded 23 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a 81:58 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on A. Martin (20 goals), A. Villalibre (15 goals), I. Vicente (8 goals), with creative support from I. Vicente (18 assists), A. Martin (9 assists), P. Canales (8 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Valladolid Analysis

Valladolid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 46 points from 39 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 43:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Chuki (7 goals), J. Latasa (7 goals), Peter González (6 goals), with creative support from Chuki (7 assists), S. Biuk (5 assists), Julien Ponceau (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Racing Santander won 1 times, Valladolid won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Racing Santander's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Racing Santander 4-2-3-1 / Valladolid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Santander wins 1, draws 1, Valladolid wins 2
Stats
Racing Santander Racing Santander
Valladolid Valladolid
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
414 Total passes 365
347 Passes accurate 313
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Racing Santander
Formation
Valladolid
S. Eriksson
S. Eriksson
A. Mantilla
A. Mantilla
Manu
Manu
P. Ramon
P. Ramon
J. Salinas
J. Salinas
M. Gueye
M. Gueye
G. Puerta
G. Puerta
A. Martin
⚽ 2
A. Martin
P. Canales
P. Canales
I. Vicente
I. Vicente
G. Guliashvili
G. Guliashvili
Guilherme Fernandes
Guilherme Fernandes
I. Alejo
I. Alejo
R. Martinez
R. Martinez
M. Jaouab
M. Jaouab
C. Clerc
C. Clerc
Peter Federico
Peter Federico
M. Lachuer
M. Lachuer
J. Ponceau
J. Ponceau
M. Maroto
M. Maroto
A. Carvajal
A. Carvajal
J. Latasa
J. Latasa
Racing Santander 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
S. Eriksson
G
2
A. Mantilla
🟨 86'
D
4
Manu
D
21
P. Ramon
D
32
J. Salinas
D
14
M. Gueye
↓ 73'
M
19
G. Puerta
↓ 84'
M
11
A. Martin
⚽ 62' ⚽ 73' ↓ 84'
M
18
P. Canales
M
10
I. Vicente
M
7
G. Guliashvili
↓ 23'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ezkieta
G
17
J. Mata
F
15
M. Sangalli
↑ 84'
F
12
A. Villalibre
⚽ 33' 🎯 73' ↑ 23'
F
5
J. Castro
D
20
S. Camara
⚽ 90' ↑ 84'
F
23
D. Rodriguez
🎯 90' ↑ 73'
M
3
M. Garcia
D
9
J. Arana
F
6
I. Sainz-Maza
M
8
A. Aldasoro
M
44
Chino
M
Valladolid 5-3-2
Starting XI
13
Guilherme Fernandes
G
14
I. Alejo
D
5
R. Martinez
↓ 84'
D
23
M. Jaouab
⚽ 42'
D
18
C. Clerc
🟥 59'
D
22
Peter Federico
D
6
M. Lachuer
M
21
J. Ponceau
↓ 69'
M
16
M. Maroto
↓ 64'
M
38
A. Carvajal
↓ 64'
9
J. Latasa
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
26
A. de Pablo
G
1
A. Aceves
G
24
S. Juric
M
19
L. Sanseviero
F
12
I. Alani
↑ 69'
M
11
A. Ndiaye
F
25
V. Erlien
↑ 84'
F
8
V. A. Meseguer Cavas
↑ 64'
M
15
P. Tomeo
↑ 64'
D
30
H. Modesto
D
40
B. Chinedu
F
35
A. Galdeano
↑ 84'
D
Last matches: Racing Santander
31.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cadiz
4
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Malaga
1
1
D
10.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Leganes
2
1
W
03.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Huesca
4
2
W
26.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
0
0
D
17.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad II
3
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Almeria
5
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
FC Andorra
2
6
L
01.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijon
3
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Zaragoza
0
2
L
21.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Albacete
0
4
L
14.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cultural Leonesa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cordoba
4
3
W
28.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Castellón
3
1
W
22.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Burgos
1
0
W
15.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Eibar
1
2
L
09.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Mirandes
1
0
W
01.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Granada CF
0
1
L
25.01.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
18.01.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Las Palmas
4
1
W
Last matches: Valladolid
31.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Almeria
0
1
L
24.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
0
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Zaragoza
2
0
W
03.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Las Palmas
1
2
L
25.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
19.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
FC Andorra
0
1
L
13.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Eibar
0
0
D
04.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cultural Leonesa
0
1
L
31.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cadiz
3
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Burgos
0
1
L
22.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Mirandes
1
2
L
14.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Leganes
3
2
W
07.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Malaga
3
3
D
28.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Huesca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
2
2
D
14.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Granada CF
1
5
L
08.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Castellón
0
4
L
31.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cordoba
1
3
L
24.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
Albacete
0
1
L
17.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
3
0
W
H2H: Racing Santander vs Valladolid
16.05.26
H2H
Racing Santander
Valladolid
4
1
W
03.01.26
H2H
Valladolid
Racing Santander
1
1
D
29.01.24
H2H
Valladolid
Racing Santander
3
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Racing Santander
Valladolid
2
3
L
Last matches: Racing Santander
31.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cadiz
4
1
W
03.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Huesca
4
2
W
12.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Almeria
5
1
W
01.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijon
3
1
W
21.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Albacete
0
4
L
08.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cordoba
4
3
W
22.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Burgos
1
0
W
09.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Mirandes
1
0
W
18.01.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Las Palmas
4
1
W
15.01.26
Cop
Racing Santander
Barcelona
0
2
L
10.01.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Zaragoza
2
3
L
17.12.25
Cop
Racing Santander
Villarreal
2
1
W
13.12.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Leganes
1
1
D
30.11.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Eibar
4
0
W
15.11.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Granada CF
2
2
D
31.10.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
19.10.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Deportivo La Coruna
2
1
W
05.10.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Malaga
3
0
W
27.09.25
Seg
Racing Santander
FC Andorra
1
2
L
14.09.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Cultural Leonesa
2
4
L
H2H at home: Racing Santander
16.05.26
H2H
Racing Santander
Valladolid
4
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Racing Santander
Valladolid
2
3
L
Last matches: Valladolid
31.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Almeria
0
1
L
03.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Las Palmas
1
2
L
19.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
FC Andorra
0
1
L
04.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cultural Leonesa
0
1
L
22.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Mirandes
1
2
L
07.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Malaga
3
3
D
22.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
2
2
D
14.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Granada CF
1
5
L
31.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cordoba
1
3
L
17.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
3
0
W
11.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
Leganes
0
3
L
19.12.25
Seg
Valladolid
Eibar
0
3
L
06.12.25
Seg
Valladolid
Huesca
4
1
W
24.11.25
Seg
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
0
1
L
09.11.25
Seg
Valladolid
Cadiz
0
0
D
29.10.25
Cop
Valladolid
Portugalete
0
1
L
26.10.25
Seg
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
12.10.25
Seg
Valladolid
Burgos
1
0
W
21.09.25
Seg
Valladolid
Albacete
0
2
L
06.09.25
Seg
Valladolid
Zaragoza
1
1
D
H2H away: Valladolid
16.05.26
H2H
Racing Santander
Valladolid
4
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Racing Santander
Valladolid
2
3
W

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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