Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.09
Toluca1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla
WWDLW
29 GF / 48 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
65 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
17
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Puebla
28 matches
Toluca
30 matches
| Puebla | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 16 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 18 | Losses | 6 |
| 29 | Goals For | 65 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 4 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Puebla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puebla wins 4, draws 6, Toluca wins 5
Last matches: Puebla
23.08.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
18.08.26
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
01.08.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
22.07.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Atlas
4
3
W
04.07.26
Fri
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H: Puebla vs Toluca
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
3
1
L
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
L
23.10.24
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
5
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
0
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
L
03.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
W
21.03.21
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
4
4
D
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
W
06.10.19
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
Last matches: Puebla
23.08.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
01.08.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Mazatlán
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
4
3
W
27.09.25
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.09.25
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
2
4
L
16.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
26.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Atlas
2
3
L
H2H at home: Puebla
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
L
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
L
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
W
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
W
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
H2H away: Toluca
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
W
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
L
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Puebla
Home
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs