PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - CLAUSURA
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Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
84.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 79.3%
Draw 4.9%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 15.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.59
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
48 GF / 44 GA
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
WLDWL
15 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.56
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
16
BTTS Yes
10
17
Over 2.5
9
4.55
Shots on Goal
1.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 33 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 27 matches
Libertad Asuncion Statistic Club Sp. San Lorenzo
13 Wins 3
4 Draws 7
16 Losses 17
48 Goals For 15
44 Goals Against 49
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
16 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 14
4.55 Shots On Goal 1.41
12.82 Total Shots 5.48
4.48 Corners 2.04
51.8% Ball Possession 21.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Libertad Asuncion's more proactive style and Club Sp. San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Libertad Asuncion come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Club Sp. San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. Libertad Asuncion arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 12 points compared to Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 12 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 12 points from 5 games, Libertad Asuncion bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 10:5 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Ivan Ramirez (1 goals), Alan Benítez (1 goals), Matías Espinoza (1 goals), with creative support from Ivan Ramirez (2 assists), Álvaro Campuzano (2 assists), Alan Benítez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 with 1 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 1:8, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 10 times, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:9 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2 / Club Sp. San Lorenzo -
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 10, draws 1, Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 0
Last matches: Libertad Asuncion
16.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
10.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
02.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
2
L
30.07.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
4
1
W
26.07.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
1
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1
L
24.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
20.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
14.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
05.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
01.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
28.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
25.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
3
2
W
21.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
12.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
1
3
L
05.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
0
1
L
30.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
Last matches: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
16.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
09.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
2
L
03.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
0
3
L
30.07.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
0
1
L
25.07.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
22.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
17.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
10.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
0
W
01.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
5
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
1
L
17.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
10.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
2
4
L
31.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
22.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
17.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
08.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
1
D
02.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
L
H2H: Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
01.05.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
02.03.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
W
20.09.23
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
W
27.07.22
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
W
20.11.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
2
2
D
26.09.20
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
25.07.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
W
29.09.19
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
14.07.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
W
05.05.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
3
4
W
03.03.19
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
Last matches: Libertad Asuncion
10.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
30.07.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
4
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1
L
14.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
01.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
28.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
25.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
3
2
W
15.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
12.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
30.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
1
L
08.02.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
3
3
D
28.01.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad Asuncion
01.05.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
26.09.20
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
29.09.19
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
03.03.19
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
Last matches: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
16.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
03.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
0
3
L
25.07.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
22.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
01.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
5
L
17.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
2
4
L
28.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
13.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
08.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
2
L
13.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
3
L
31.01.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
24.01.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
H2H away: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
01.05.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
L
26.09.20
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
L
29.09.19
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
L
03.03.19
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
L