COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Villa Concha
Real Santander
Match Timeline
Ind. Yumbo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
J. Carrasco
Real Santander
🟨
45+3'
A. Segura
Real Santander
53'
P. Rodriguez
Real Santander
🔄
56'
J. Rubiano ↔ H. Moreyra
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
56'
W. Lopez ↔ L. Quinonez
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
56'
H. Mena ↔ J. Palacios
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
63'
J. D. Guillen Sanchez ↔ D. Misatt
Real Santander
🟨
68'
P. Rodriguez
Real Santander
🔄
69'
J. Ordonez ↔ J. Diaz
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
70'
A. Segura ↔ Rueda Juan
Real Santander
🔄
70'
M. Diaz ↔ B. Moreno
Real Santander
🔄
71'
J. Lozano ↔ A. Garcia
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
84'
P. Rodriguez ↔ J. Delgado
Real Santander

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Santander Win 24.7%
Draw 6.4%
Ind. Yumbo Win 69%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Santander0.84
Ind. Yumbo1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Santander Real Santander
WWDLW
16 GF / 34 GA
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo
WLDWL
18 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
12
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Santander Real Santander 19 matches
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo 18 matches
Real Santander Statistic Ind. Yumbo
1 Wins 6
7 Draws 8
11 Losses 4
16 Goals For 18
34 Goals Against 15
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
12 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 2
5 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ind. Yumbo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ind. Yumbo. Ind. Yumbo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 19 points while Real Santander sit 16 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Real Santander have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Real Santander Analysis

Real Santander approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 7 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 9:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ind. Yumbo Analysis

Ind. Yumbo sit 9 with 19 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Santander won 1 times, Ind. Yumbo won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Real Santander's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
H2H summary: Real Santander wins 1, draws 1, Ind. Yumbo wins 0

Lineups

Real Santander
Formation
Ind. Yumbo
J. Lazaro
J. Lazaro
C. Duran
C. Duran
J. Carrasco
J. Carrasco
J. P. Garcia Habib
J. P. Garcia Habib
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
D. Tapia
D. Tapia
A. Segura
A. Segura
P. Rodriguez
P. Rodriguez
J. D. Guillen Sanchez
J. D. Guillen Sanchez
J. Holguin
J. Holguin
M. Diaz
M. Diaz
J. Mendez
J. Mendez
H. De Arco
H. De Arco
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
J. Lozano
J. Lozano
W. Lopez
W. Lopez
J. Ordonez
J. Ordonez
H. Mena
H. Mena
J. Rubiano
J. Rubiano
F. Pena
F. Pena
T. Diaz
T. Diaz
L. Farias
L. Farias
Real Santander 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Lazaro
3
C. Duran
29
J. Carrasco
🟨 2'
14
J. P. Garcia Habib
16
J. Hernandez
31
D. Tapia
25
A. Segura
↓ 70' 🟨 45+3'
9
P. Rodriguez
⚽ 53' ↓ 84' 🟨 68'
27
J. D. Guillen Sanchez
↓ 63'
5
J. Holguin
11
M. Diaz
↓ 70'
Substitutes
43
A. Hurtado
7
Rueda Juan
↑ 70'
8
J. Garcia
23
B. Moreno
↑ 70'
24
L. Rangel
26
B. Roman
37
J. Delgado
↑ 84'
41
E. E. Chacon Bonilla
42
D. Misatt
↑ 63'
Ind. Yumbo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Mendez
16
H. De Arco
4
J. Rodriguez
2
J. Lozano
↓ 71'
26
W. Lopez
↓ 56'
14
J. Ordonez
↓ 69'
7
H. Mena
↓ 56'
20
J. Rubiano
↓ 56'
25
F. Pena
8
T. Diaz
11
L. Farias
Substitutes
3
D. Ferrer
5
J. Diaz
↑ 69'
6
H. Moreyra
↑ 56'
9
A. Garcia
↑ 71'
12
L. Mena
17
L. Quinonez
↑ 56'
29
J. Palacios
↑ 56'
Last matches: Real Santander
20.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
2
2
D
06.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
2
2
D
31.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
1
5
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Bogota FC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Envigado
1
3
L
26.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Tigres FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Popayan
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
23.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Huila
2
1
W
Last matches: Ind. Yumbo
07.08.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cartagena
2
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Envigado
1
1
D
28.07.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Depor FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
07.04.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Popayan
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Patriotas
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Orsomarso
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
11.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Barranquilla
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Bogota FC
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Leones FC
2
0
W
24.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Santander
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Tigres FC
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Quindio
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Envigado
0
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Depor FC
1
1
D
H2H: Real Santander vs Ind. Yumbo
24.08.26
H2H
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
0
W
24.02.26
H2H
Ind. Yumbo
Real Santander
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Santander
20.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
2
2
D
31.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Bogota FC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Envigado
1
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Tigres FC
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Popayan
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Huila
2
1
W
10.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Cucuta
0
2
L
04.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
0
1
L
22.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
4
0
W
29.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Popayan
2
2
D
15.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
2
0
W
04.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Bogota FC
4
0
W
19.07.25
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
2
0
W
12.05.25
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
3
L
19.04.25
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
1
1
D
H2H at home: Real Santander
24.08.26
H2H
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
0
W
Last matches: Ind. Yumbo
07.08.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cartagena
2
0
W
28.07.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Depor FC
2
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Popayan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Orsomarso
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Leones FC
2
0
W
16.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Tigres FC
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Quindio
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Envigado
0
2
L
H2H away: Ind. Yumbo
24.08.26
H2H
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
0
L

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)