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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
25.10.2026 15:30
Preussenstadion

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Preußen Münster Win 45.4%
Draw 16.7%
Fortuna Köln Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preußen Münster1.64
Fortuna Köln1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster
WWDLW
30 GF / 25 GA
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln
WLDWL
28 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
12
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
9
3.2
Shots on Goal
1.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 15 matches
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 19 matches
Preußen Münster Statistic Fortuna Köln
7 Wins 8
3 Draws 6
5 Losses 5
30 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 21
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 6
3.2 Shots On Goal 1.8
8.2 Total Shots 6.9
3 Corners 2.9
38.8% Ball Possession 33.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortuna Köln. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Preußen Münster expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fortuna Köln in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortuna Köln having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Preußen Münster Analysis

Preußen Münster sit 12 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 18:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Higl (3 goals), with creative support from T. Paetow (1 assists), L. Zeller (1 assists), Montell Ndikom (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortuna Köln Analysis

Fortuna Köln sit 18 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Preußen Münster won 9 times, Fortuna Köln won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:21 from Preußen Münster's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Preußen Münster 3-4-2-1 / Fortuna Köln 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Preußen Münster wins 9, draws 1, Fortuna Köln wins 5

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 26:11 15 24
W W W W L
2 9 6 1 2 26:13 13 19
D W W W W
3 10 5 3 2 18:13 5 18
L W D D W
4 10 5 2 3 24:17 7 17
W L D W D
5 10 5 1 4 20:15 5 16
W L L W W
6 10 4 3 3 17:19 -2 15
L L W D W
7 10 4 2 4 17:18 -1 14
W W D D L
8 10 4 2 4 15:16 -1 14
W L L W L
9 10 4 2 4 13:15 -2 14
W W L L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
L W D L W
11 10 4 1 5 16:16 0 13
L L W W L
12 10 3 3 4 18:21 -3 12
L L D L D
13 10 3 3 4 12:15 -3 12
D W W L W
14 10 3 3 4 15:19 -4 12
L D D W D
15 10 3 3 4 12:18 -6 12
W D L L D
16 10 3 2 5 15:19 -4 11
W D L L W
17 10 2 4 4 20:19 1 10
D D W D L
18 10 2 4 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
19 9 3 1 5 11:16 -5 10
W D L L L
20 9 1 2 6 12:22 -10 5
D L L L D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation