BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Porto BA
Match Timeline
Democrata GV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
54'
Cesinha
Porto BA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Porto BA Win 48.4%
Draw 31.1%
Democrata GV Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Porto BA1.1
Democrata GV1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Porto BA Porto BA
WWDLW
3 GF / 5 GA
Democrata GV Democrata GV
WLDWL
2 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Porto BA Porto BA 2 matches
Democrata GV Democrata GV 2 matches
Porto BA Statistic Democrata GV
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 1
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Democrata GV's more proactive style and Porto BA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Democrata GV. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Democrata GV having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Porto BA Analysis

Porto BA come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 3 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 3:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luan Rodrigues (2 goals), Firmino (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Democrata GV Analysis

Democrata GV come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 4 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 2:1 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ivan Junior (1 goals), Mauricio Ferreira (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Porto BA won 1 times, Democrata GV won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Porto BA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.6%)
H2H summary: Porto BA wins 1, draws 0, Democrata GV wins 1

Lineups

Porto BA
Formation
Democrata GV
Porto BA 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
Substitutes
No substitutes data
Democrata GV 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
Substitutes
No substitutes data
Last matches: Porto BA
30.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
1
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: Porto BA vs Democrata GV
25.05.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
L
18.04.26
H2H
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
W
Last matches: Porto BA
30.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
H2H at home: Porto BA
18.04.26
H2H
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
H2H away: Democrata GV
18.04.26
H2H
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
L

Standings

Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A12
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L