Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
21 matches
Nautico Recife
21 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 15 | Goals For | 25 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 10.71 | Total Shots | 15.81 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 5.81 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 58.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nautico Recife. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. Nautico Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 25 points while Ponte Preta sit 20 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Ponte Preta sit 20 with 9 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 15:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Nautico Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 25 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 24:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 8 times, Nautico Recife won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:9 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Ponte Preta
6
4
6
7
1
3
Lineups
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|