ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Referee: F. Fourneau
Pisa
Match Timeline
Napoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
S. McTominay · Assist: R. Hojlund
Napoli
27'
A. Rrahmani · Assist: E. Elmas
Napoli
🟨
53'
Arturo Calabresi
Pisa
🟨
53'
Eljif Elmas
Napoli
🔄
59'
E. Elmas ↔ K. De Bruyne
Napoli
🔄
59'
A. Buongiorno ↔ M. Olivera
Napoli
🔄
60'
F. Stojilkovic ↔ H. Meister
Pisa
🔄
60'
E. Akinsanmiro ↔ G. Piccinini
Pisa
🔄
70'
M. Leris ↔ J. Cuadrado
Pisa
🔄
70'
A. Calabresi ↔ I. Toure
Pisa
🔄
71'
S. Moreo ↔ I. Vural
Pisa
🟨
78'
Antonio Caracciolo
Pisa
🟨
78'
Alisson Santos
Napoli
🔄
79'
L. Spinazzola ↔ M. Gutierrez
Napoli
🔄
80'
Alisson Santos ↔ A. Vergara
Napoli
🔄
88'
G. Di Lorenzo ↔ P. Mazzocchi
Napoli
90'
R. Hojlund · Assist: P. Mazzocchi
Napoli

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pisa Win 15.1%
Draw 4.2%
Napoli Win 80.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pisa0.84
Napoli1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pisa Pisa
WWDLW
25 GF / 67 GA
Napoli Napoli
WLDWL
69 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.66
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
15
BTTS Yes
24
18
Over 2.5
22
2.74
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pisa Pisa 38 matches
Napoli Napoli 48 matches
Pisa Statistic Napoli
2 Wins 25
13 Draws 11
23 Losses 12
25 Goals For 69
67 Goals Against 53
0.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
15 BTTS Yes 24
23 Over 1.5 36
18 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 17
22 Failed To Score 11
2.74 Shots On Goal 4.52
9.5 Total Shots 12.85
3.58 Corners 5.67
40.8% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Napoli's more proactive style and Pisa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Napoli. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Napoli carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Pisa sit 20 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Pisa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Pisa Analysis

Pisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 36 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 12 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 25:66, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Moreo (6 goals), M. Nzola (4 goals), Antonio Caracciolo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Leris (3 assists), Matteo Tramoni (2 assists), S. Angori (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Napoli Analysis

Napoli arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 70 points after 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 21 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 54:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Hojlund (10 goals), S. McTominay (9 goals), K. De Bruyne (5 goals), with creative support from M. Politano (5 assists), R. Hojlund (4 assists), S. McTominay (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Pisa won 0 times, Napoli won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Pisa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Pisa 3-4-2-1 / Napoli 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Pisa 5, Napoli 3
H2H summary: Pisa wins 0, draws 0, Napoli wins 2
Stats
Pisa Pisa
Napoli Napoli
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 2
0 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 8
0 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
239 Total passes 770
172 Passes accurate 708
0.82 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Pisa
Formation
Napoli
A. Semper
A. Semper
A. Calabresi
A. Calabresi
A. Caracciolo
A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli
S. Canestrelli
M. Leris
M. Leris
M. Aebischer
M. Aebischer
M. Hojholt
M. Hojholt
E. Akinsanmiro
E. Akinsanmiro
S. Angori
S. Angori
S. Moreo
S. Moreo
F. Stojilkovic
F. Stojilkovic
A. Meret
A. Meret
S. Beukema
S. Beukema
A. Rrahmani
A. Rrahmani
A. Buongiorno
A. Buongiorno
G. Di Lorenzo
G. Di Lorenzo
S. Lobotka
S. Lobotka
S. McTominay
S. McTominay
L. Spinazzola
L. Spinazzola
E. Elmas
🎯
E. Elmas
R. Hojlund
🎯
R. Hojlund
Alisson Santos
Alisson Santos
Pisa 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
A. Semper
G
33
A. Calabresi
↓ 70' 🟨 53'
D
4
A. Caracciolo
🟨 78'
D
5
S. Canestrelli
D
7
M. Leris
↓ 70'
M
20
M. Aebischer
M
8
M. Hojholt
M
14
E. Akinsanmiro
↓ 60'
M
3
S. Angori
M
32
S. Moreo
↓ 71'
F
81
F. Stojilkovic
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
12
Nicolas Andrade
G
22
S. Scuffet
G
39
R. Albiol
D
11
J. Cuadrado
↑ 70'
M
15
I. Toure
↑ 70'
M
19
S. Iling Junior
F
9
H. Meister
↑ 60'
F
21
I. Vural
↑ 71'
M
42
B. Bettazzi
M
6
M. Marin
M
23
C. Stengs
M
36
G. Piccinini
↑ 60'
M
17
R. Durosinmi
F
Napoli 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
A. Meret
G
31
S. Beukema
D
13
A. Rrahmani
⚽ 27'
D
4
A. Buongiorno
↓ 59'
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
↓ 88'
M
68
S. Lobotka
M
8
S. McTominay
⚽ 21'
M
37
L. Spinazzola
↓ 79'
M
20
E. Elmas
🎯 27' ↓ 59' 🟨 53'
F
19
R. Hojlund
⚽ 90' 🎯 21'
F
27
Alisson Santos
↓ 80' 🟨 78'
F
Substitutes
32
V. Milinkovic-Savic
G
14
N. Contini
G
11
K. De Bruyne
↑ 59'
M
5
Juan Jesus
D
30
P. Mazzocchi
🎯 90' ↑ 88'
D
17
M. Olivera
↑ 59'
D
3
M. Gutierrez
↑ 79'
D
26
A. Vergara
↑ 80'
M
23
Giovane
F
99
F. Anguissa
M
6
B. Gilmour
M
Last matches: Pisa
23.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Lazio
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Cremonese
0
3
L
01.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Lecce
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Parma
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Genoa
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ser
Pisa
AS Roma
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Torino
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Como
0
5
L
15.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Cagliari
3
1
W
07.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Juventus
0
4
L
02.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Bologna
0
1
L
23.02.26
Ser
Pisa
Fiorentina
0
1
L
13.02.26
Ser
Pisa
AC Milan
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ser
Pisa
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Sassuolo
1
3
L
23.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Inter
2
6
L
16.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Udinese
2
2
D
06.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Como
0
3
L
03.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Genoa
1
1
D
Last matches: Napoli
24.05.26
Ser
Napoli
Udinese
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Napoli
Bologna
2
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Napoli
Como
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ser
Napoli
Cremonese
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Napoli
Lazio
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Napoli
Parma
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Napoli
AC Milan
1
0
W
20.03.26
Ser
Napoli
Cagliari
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Napoli
Lecce
2
1
W
06.03.26
Ser
Napoli
Torino
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Napoli
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
22.02.26
Ser
Napoli
Atalanta
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Napoli
AS Roma
2
2
D
10.02.26
Cop
Napoli
Como
1
1
D
07.02.26
Ser
Napoli
Genoa
3
2
W
31.01.26
Ser
Napoli
Fiorentina
2
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Napoli
Chelsea
2
3
L
25.01.26
Ser
Napoli
Juventus
0
3
L
20.01.26
UEF
Napoli
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
17.01.26
Ser
Napoli
Sassuolo
1
0
W
H2H: Pisa vs Napoli
17.05.26
H2H
Pisa
Napoli
0
3
L
22.09.25
H2H
Napoli
Pisa
3
2
L
Last matches: Pisa
01.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Lecce
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Genoa
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Torino
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Cagliari
3
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Bologna
0
1
L
13.02.26
Ser
Pisa
AC Milan
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Sassuolo
1
3
L
16.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Atalanta
1
1
D
06.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Como
0
3
L
27.12.25
Ser
Pisa
Juventus
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Pisa
Parma
0
1
L
30.11.25
Ser
Pisa
Inter
0
2
L
07.11.25
Ser
Pisa
Cremonese
1
0
W
30.10.25
Ser
Pisa
Lazio
0
0
D
18.10.25
Ser
Pisa
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
28.09.25
Ser
Pisa
Fiorentina
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Pisa
Udinese
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Pisa
AS Roma
0
1
L
H2H at home: Pisa
17.05.26
H2H
Pisa
Napoli
0
3
L
Last matches: Napoli
02.05.26
Ser
Napoli
Como
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Napoli
Parma
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Napoli
Cagliari
1
0
W
28.02.26
Ser
Napoli
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
22.02.26
Ser
Napoli
Atalanta
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Napoli
Genoa
3
2
W
25.01.26
Ser
Napoli
Juventus
0
3
L
20.01.26
UEF
Napoli
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
11.01.26
Ser
Napoli
Inter
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Napoli
Lazio
2
0
W
28.12.25
Ser
Napoli
Cremonese
2
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
Napoli
Udinese
0
1
L
10.12.25
UEF
Napoli
Benfica
0
2
L
30.11.25
Ser
Napoli
AS Roma
1
0
W
09.11.25
Ser
Napoli
Bologna
0
2
L
28.10.25
Ser
Napoli
Lecce
1
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Napoli
PSV Eindhoven
2
6
L
18.10.25
Ser
Napoli
Torino
0
1
L
28.09.25
Ser
Napoli
AC Milan
1
2
L
18.09.25
UEF
Napoli
Manchester City
0
2
L
H2H away: Napoli
17.05.26
H2H
Pisa
Napoli
0
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa Home
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L

Missing Players

Pisa 5 missing
-
R. Bozhinov
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
F. Coppola
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Denoon
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
F. Loyola
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
M. Tramoni
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Napoli 3 missing
-
David Neres
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT
-
R. Lukaku
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
M. Politano
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT