🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
05.09.2026 23:30
Subaru Park
Referee: C. Penso
Philadelphia Union
Match Timeline
CF Montreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
3'
Neil Pierre
CF Montreal
🟨
6'
Jovan Lukić
Philadelphia Union
🟨
14'
Hennadii Synchuk
CF Montreal
🟨
24'
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
🟨
29'
Samuel Piette
CF Montreal
🔄
46'
J. Neal ↔ B. Craig
CF Montreal
🟨
56'
Dawid Bugaj
CF Montreal
58'
D. Jean Jacques
Philadelphia Union
🟨
68'
Kai Wagner
Philadelphia Union
68'
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal
🔄
69'
I. Vassilev ↔ Q. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
69'
J. Lukic ↔ J. Bueno
Philadelphia Union
🔄
69'
S. Piette ↔ V. Loturi
CF Montreal
🔄
69'
G. Synchuk ↔ W. Carmona
CF Montreal
🟨
73'
Victor Loturi
CF Montreal
75'
C. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
79'
A. Sanchez ↔ N. Streit
CF Montreal
🔄
79'
L. Petrasso ↔ D. Rios
CF Montreal
🔄
83'
C. Sullivan ↔ A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
🔄
83'
M. Iloski ↔ E. Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🟨
90'
Jesus Bueno
Philadelphia Union
🔄
90+1'
B. Damiani ↔ M. Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
1.43
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.45
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Philadelphia Union Win 64.9%
Draw 11.5%
CF Montreal Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Philadelphia Union1.93
CF Montreal1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WWDLW
56 GF / 48 GA
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WLDWL
40 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
20
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
19
4.92
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 matches
CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 matches
Philadelphia Union Statistic CF Montreal
10 Wins 7
8 Draws 6
13 Losses 14
56 Goals For 40
48 Goals Against 57
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
20 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 8
4.92 Shots On Goal 4.95
15.73 Total Shots 13.36
6.08 Corners 5.18
47.5% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Philadelphia Union expected to line up in 4-4-2 and CF Montreal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Montreal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CF Montreal.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

So far, Philadelphia Union have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 21 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 31:38 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Milan Iloski (8 goals), Bruno Damiani (3 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), with creative support from Frankie Westfield (3 assists), Cavan Sullivan (2 assists), Bruno Damiani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Montreal Analysis

With 21 points from 21 games and a place of 14, CF Montreal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 8 times, CF Montreal won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:22 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Philadelphia Union 4-4-2 / CF Montreal 4-3-3
Missing players: Philadelphia Union 3, CF Montreal 4
H2H summary: Philadelphia Union wins 8, draws 4, CF Montreal wins 3

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)