Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.9%
|
1.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.45 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
6.75 |
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Philadelphia Union
31 matches
CF Montreal
27 matches
| Philadelphia Union | Statistic | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 14 |
| 56 | Goals For | 40 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.11 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 15.73 | Total Shots | 13.36 |
| 6.08 | Corners | 5.18 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 48.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Philadelphia Union expected to line up in 4-4-2 and CF Montreal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Montreal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CF Montreal.
So far, Philadelphia Union have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 21 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 31:38 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Milan Iloski (8 goals), Bruno Damiani (3 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), with creative support from Frankie Westfield (3 assists), Cavan Sullivan (2 assists), Bruno Damiani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 21 points from 21 games and a place of 14, CF Montreal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 8 times, CF Montreal won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:22 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
Home
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
CF Montreal
Away
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|