ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Stadionul Ilie Oană
Referee: F. Andrei
Petrolul Ploiesti
Match Timeline
Oţelul
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Pedro Nuno
Oţelul
12'
D. Bordun
Oţelul
🟨
20'
Paul Iacob
Oţelul
24'
N. Pedro · Assist: Andrezinho
Oţelul
🟨
27'
Luan
Oţelul
🔄
38'
R. Hermann ↔ D. Dongmo
Petrolul Ploiesti
42'
C. Ignat
Petrolul Ploiesti
🟥
45'
Rareș Pop
Petrolul Ploiesti
45'
Luan · Assist: N. Pedro
Oţelul
🔄
46'
A. Dumitrescu ↔ F. Prce
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
46'
P. Iacob ↔ Kazu
Oţelul
🔄
58'
A. Chica-Rosa ↔ A. Aymbetov
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
59'
M. Dulca ↔ K. Ludewig
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
59'
Luan ↔ B. Paz
Oţelul
🔄
66'
P. Papp ↔ V. Gheorghe
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
82'
D. Bordun ↔ D. Sandu
Oţelul
🔄
83'
N. Pedro ↔ D. Neicu
Oţelul
85'
D. Neicu
Oţelul
VAR
87'
Dan-Cristian Neicu
Oţelul
89'
Patrick · Assist: B. Paz
Oţelul
🟨
90+4'
Dragos Aftene
Oţelul
🔄
90+1'
Andrezinho ↔ D. Aftene
Oţelul

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Petrolul Ploiesti Win 51.6%
Draw 14.1%
Oţelul Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Petrolul Ploiesti0.99
Oţelul1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
WWDLW
32 GF / 41 GA
Oţelul Oţelul
WLDWL
51 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
18
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
19
3.45
Shots on Goal
4.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti 38 matches
Oţelul Oţelul 38 matches
Petrolul Ploiesti Statistic Oţelul
9 Wins 14
14 Draws 10
15 Losses 14
32 Goals For 51
41 Goals Against 46
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
18 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 26
10 Over 2.5 19
3 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 13
3.45 Shots On Goal 4.24
12.26 Total Shots 13.55
4.87 Corners 4.32
46.8% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Oţelul's more proactive style and Petrolul Ploiesti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oţelul. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Petrolul Ploiesti Analysis

Petrolul Ploiesti are currently 12 in the standings with 32 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 24:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Grozav (7 goals), A. Chica-Rosa (4 goals), Marco Dulca (2 goals), with creative support from G. Grozav (3 assists), Tommi Jyry (3 assists), Marco Dulca (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oţelul Analysis

Oţelul are currently 10 in the standings with 41 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 39:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Conrado Buchanelli Holz (8 goals), Paulinho (7 goals), Patrick (6 goals), with creative support from Andrezinho (3 assists), João Lameira (3 assists), S. Bana (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Petrolul Ploiesti won 1 times, Oţelul won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Petrolul Ploiesti's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.89 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1 / Oţelul 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Petrolul Ploiesti wins 1, draws 6, Oţelul wins 2
Stats
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul Oţelul
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Goal 9
5 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
285 Total passes 450
216 Passes accurate 371
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Petrolul Ploiesti
Formation
Oţelul
R. Balbarau
R. Balbarau
D. Rodrigues
D. Rodrigues
P. Papp
P. Papp
C. Ignat
C. Ignat
A. Dumitrescu
A. Dumitrescu
M. Dulca
M. Dulca
T. Jyry
T. Jyry
R. Pop
R. Pop
R. Hermann
R. Hermann
G. Grozav
G. Grozav
A. Chica-Rosa
A. Chica-Rosa
C. Dur-Bozoanca
C. Dur-Bozoanca
M. Zhelev
M. Zhelev
Ne Lopes
Ne Lopes
P. Iacob
P. Iacob
Conrado
Conrado
Andrezinho
🎯
Andrezinho
J. Lameira
J. Lameira
D. Bordun
D. Bordun
N. Pedro
🎯
N. Pedro
Luan
Luan
Patrick
Patrick
Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Balbarau
G
2
D. Rodrigues
D
4
P. Papp
↓ 66'
D
22
C. Ignat
⚽ 42'
D
23
A. Dumitrescu
↓ 46'
D
88
M. Dulca
↓ 59'
M
6
T. Jyry
M
55
R. Pop
🟥 45'
M
28
R. Hermann
↓ 38'
M
7
G. Grozav
M
9
A. Chica-Rosa
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
41
S. Krell
G
77
N. Boateng
M
71
F. Prce
↑ 46'
D
17
A. Aymbetov
↑ 58'
F
20
S. Hanca
D
11
V. Gheorghe
↑ 66'
F
29
K. Ludewig
↑ 59'
D
64
B. Marian
D
97
A. Dumitrache
M
24
Ricardinho
D
69
Y. Roche
D
5
D. Dongmo
↑ 38'
M
Oţelul 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Dur-Bozoanca
G
2
M. Zhelev
D
4
Ne Lopes
D
6
P. Iacob
↓ 46' 🟨 20'
D
97
Conrado
D
7
Andrezinho
🎯 24' ↓ 90+1'
M
8
J. Lameira
M
24
D. Bordun
⚽ 12' ↓ 82'
M
27
N. Pedro
⚽ 24' 🎯 45' ↓ 83' 🟨 -5'
M
99
Luan
⚽ 45' ↓ 59' 🟨 27'
M
9
Patrick
⚽ 89'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Paharnicu
G
22
G. Ursu
G
20
D. Sandu
↑ 82'
F
80
B. Paz
🎯 89' ↑ 59'
M
88
Kazu
↑ 46'
D
16
D. Neicu
D
14
A. Rus
D
15
D. Neicu
⚽ 85' ↑ 83'
F
5
D. Aftene
↑ 90+1' 🟨 90+4'
M
Last matches: Petrolul Ploiesti
19.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chindia Targoviste
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
ASA Targu Mures
1
1
D
03.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
0
2
L
02.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chojniczanka Chojnice
4
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
4
L
27.06.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Lechia Gdansk
5
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Unirea Slobozia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Metaloglobus
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
06.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Rapid
1
1
D
Last matches: Oţelul
18.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
FC Bacau
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
09.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
4
L
04.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
20.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
1
4
L
05.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
0
D
26.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
3
0
W
18.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
H2H: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul
18.05.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
L
08.11.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
13.07.25
H2H
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
12.05.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
3
L
18.01.25
H2H
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
23.08.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
2
1
W
27.01.24
H2H
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
01.09.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
2
2
D
Last matches: Petrolul Ploiesti
19.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chindia Targoviste
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
ASA Targu Mures
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Unirea Slobozia
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
0
1
L
19.01.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
0
4
L
14.12.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
0
1
L
01.12.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Metaloglobus
4
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
03.11.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
0
0
D
20.10.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Rapid
0
1
L
15.09.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
3
L
16.08.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
01.08.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
2
L
H2H at home: Petrolul Ploiesti
18.05.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
L
08.11.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
12.05.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
3
L
23.08.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
2
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
2
2
D
Last matches: Oţelul
03.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
4
L
23.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
1
0
W
05.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
10.01.26
Fri
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lig
Oţelul
Rapid
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
3
1
W
19.10.25
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
4
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
1
L
01.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
1
1
D
18.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
0
2
L
04.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
20.07.25
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
2
3
L
H2H away: Oţelul
18.05.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
W
08.11.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
12.05.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
3
W
23.08.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
2
1
L
01.09.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
2
2
D

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2 9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation