ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Stadionul Ilie Oană
Referee: H. Mladinovici
Petrolul Ploiesti
Match Timeline
AFC Hermannstadt
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Kevin Ciubotaru
AFC Hermannstadt
35'
Y. Roche · Assist: T. Jyry
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
46'
S. Bus ↔ M. Gjorgjievski
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
46'
D. Albu ↔ M. Simba
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
59'
R. Hermann ↔ A. Mateiu
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
62'
E. Florescu ↔ C. Afalna
AFC Hermannstadt
VAR
67'
Cristian Neguț
AFC Hermannstadt
72'
C. Negut
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
77'
S. Balaure ↔ L. Stancu
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
79'
M. Dulca ↔ S. Hanca
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
79'
Ricardinho ↔ D. Rodrigues
Petrolul Ploiesti
🟨
87'
Adrian Chică-Roșă
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
88'
R. Pop ↔ B. Marian
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
89'
A. Dumitrescu ↔ V. Gheorghe
Petrolul Ploiesti
🟨
90+4'
Paul Papp
Petrolul Ploiesti
🟨
90+9'
David Lazar
AFC Hermannstadt
🟨
90+1'
Kevin Ciubotaru
AFC Hermannstadt
🟨
90'
Andreas Karo
AFC Hermannstadt
🟥
90+1'
Kevin Ciubotaru
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
90+8'
C. Negut ↔ S. Issah
AFC Hermannstadt

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Petrolul Ploiesti Win 61.9%
Draw 23.6%
AFC Hermannstadt Win 14.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Petrolul Ploiesti1.14
AFC Hermannstadt1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
WWDLW
28 GF / 35 GA
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt
WLDWL
35 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
14
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
16
3.35
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti 34 matches
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt 34 matches
Petrolul Ploiesti Statistic AFC Hermannstadt
9 Wins 7
11 Draws 8
14 Losses 19
28 Goals For 35
35 Goals Against 55
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
14 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 28
9 Over 2.5 16
2 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 4
14 Failed To Score 12
3.35 Shots On Goal 3.59
12.26 Total Shots 12.15
4.76 Corners 5
47% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AFC Hermannstadt. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Petrolul Ploiesti expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AFC Hermannstadt in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AFC Hermannstadt having the stronger overall control.

Petrolul Ploiesti Analysis

Petrolul Ploiesti sit 12 with 32 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 24:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Grozav (6 goals), A. Chica-Rosa (3 goals), Marco Dulca (2 goals), with creative support from G. Grozav (2 assists), Marco Dulca (2 assists), Tommi Jyry (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Hermannstadt Analysis

AFC Hermannstadt sit 15 with 23 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 29:50, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Chitu (9 goals), S. Bus (6 goals), Cristian Neguț (4 goals), with creative support from S. Balaure (5 assists), Cristian Neguț (4 assists), A. Chitu (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Petrolul Ploiesti won 3 times, AFC Hermannstadt won 3 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Petrolul Ploiesti's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1 / AFC Hermannstadt 4-3-3
H2H summary: Petrolul Ploiesti wins 3, draws 9, AFC Hermannstadt wins 3
Stats
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
8 Corner Kicks 9
5 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 4
10 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
383 Total passes 370
312 Passes accurate 278
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Petrolul Ploiesti
Formation
AFC Hermannstadt
R. Balbarau
R. Balbarau
Ricardinho
Ricardinho
P. Papp
P. Papp
Y. Roche
Y. Roche
A. Dumitrescu
A. Dumitrescu
M. Dulca
M. Dulca
T. Jyry
🎯
T. Jyry
R. Pop
R. Pop
R. Hermann
R. Hermann
G. Grozav
G. Grozav
A. Chica-Rosa
A. Chica-Rosa
D. Lazar
D. Lazar
T. Capusa
T. Capusa
A. Karo
A. Karo
B. Chorbadzhiyski
B. Chorbadzhiyski
K. Ciubotaru
K. Ciubotaru
D. Albu
D. Albu
A. Zargary
A. Zargary
E. Florescu
E. Florescu
S. Balaure
S. Balaure
S. Bus
S. Bus
C. Negut
C. Negut
Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Balbarau
G
24
Ricardinho
↓ 79'
D
4
P. Papp
🟨 90+4'
D
69
Y. Roche
⚽ 35'
D
23
A. Dumitrescu
↓ 89'
D
88
M. Dulca
↓ 79'
M
6
T. Jyry
🎯 35'
M
55
R. Pop
↓ 88'
M
28
R. Hermann
↓ 59'
M
7
G. Grozav
M
9
A. Chica-Rosa
🟨 87'
F
Substitutes
41
S. Krell
G
77
N. Boateng
M
71
F. Prce
D
17
A. Aymbetov
F
20
S. Hanca
↑ 79'
D
11
V. Gheorghe
↑ 89'
F
29
K. Ludewig
D
22
C. Ignat
D
64
B. Marian
↑ 88'
D
97
A. Dumitrache
M
8
A. Mateiu
↑ 59'
M
2
D. Rodrigues
↑ 79'
D
AFC Hermannstadt 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
D. Lazar
🟨 90+9'
G
66
T. Capusa
D
3
A. Karo
🟨 90'
D
2
B. Chorbadzhiyski
D
98
K. Ciubotaru
🟨 16' 🟨 90+1' 🟥 90+1'
D
8
D. Albu
↓ 46'
M
36
A. Zargary
M
23
E. Florescu
↓ 62'
M
96
S. Balaure
↓ 77'
F
11
S. Bus
↓ 46'
F
10
C. Negut
⚽ 72' ↓ 90+8'
F
Substitutes
31
V. Mutiu
G
4
I. Stoica
D
19
M. Gjorgjievski
↑ 46'
F
70
M. Simba
↑ 46'
M
16
S. Issah
↑ 90+8'
D
15
C. Afalna
↑ 62'
F
77
L. Stancu
↑ 77'
M
27
I. Barstan
F
29
S. Ritivoi
F
Last matches: Petrolul Ploiesti
24.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chindia Targoviste
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
ASA Targu Mures
1
1
D
03.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
0
2
L
02.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chojniczanka Chojnice
4
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
4
L
27.06.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Lechia Gdansk
5
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
L
10.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Unirea Slobozia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Metaloglobus
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
Last matches: AFC Hermannstadt
01.06.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
0
3
L
24.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
3
2
W
18.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
W
11.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
04.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
2
2
D
24.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
0
0
D
10.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
3
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Uta Arad
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
2
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
3
1
W
23.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
1
2
L
16.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
06.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Arges Pitesti
1
3
L
03.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Rapid
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
3
2
W
23.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
12.01.26
Fri
AFC Hermannstadt
Napredak
2
2
D
H2H: Petrolul Ploiesti vs AFC Hermannstadt
19.04.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
21.12.25
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
11.04.25
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
09.02.25
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
27.09.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
4
1
W
26.06.24
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
1
W
25.04.24
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
2
0
L
11.02.24
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
1
L
13.02.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
2
1
L
05.05.22
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
06.04.22
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
0
D
Last matches: Petrolul Ploiesti
19.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chindia Targoviste
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
ASA Targu Mures
1
1
D
18.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
L
03.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Unirea Slobozia
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
0
1
L
19.01.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
0
4
L
14.12.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
0
1
L
01.12.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Metaloglobus
4
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
03.11.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
0
0
D
20.10.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Rapid
0
1
L
15.09.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
3
L
16.08.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
01.08.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
2
L
H2H at home: Petrolul Ploiesti
19.04.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
27.09.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
4
1
W
24.09.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
1
L
13.02.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
06.04.22
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
0
D
Last matches: AFC Hermannstadt
01.06.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
0
3
L
11.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
04.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
0
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Uta Arad
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
2
0
W
23.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
1
2
L
06.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Arges Pitesti
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
3
2
W
17.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
12.01.26
Fri
AFC Hermannstadt
Napredak
2
2
D
06.01.26
Fri
AFC Hermannstadt
Kayserispor
0
0
D
07.12.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Universitatea Cluj
0
3
L
24.11.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Metaloglobus
1
1
D
27.10.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
0
2
L
05.10.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
2
L
21.09.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Rapid
2
1
W
30.08.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
10.08.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
H2H away: AFC Hermannstadt
19.04.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
27.09.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
4
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
1
W
13.02.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
L
06.04.22
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
0
0
D

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2 9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation