INDONESIA LIGA 1
23.05.2026 09:00
Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Referee: R. Permana
Persepam Madura Utd
Match Timeline
PSM Makassar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
L. Cumic
PSM Makassar
🟨
16'
Lulinha
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
38'
Lulinha ↔ P. Sitanggang
Persepam Madura Utd
43'
Junior Brandao
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
46'
A. Rusadi ↔ Mendonca
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
46'
K. Amrullah ↔ R. Bakri
PSM Makassar
54'
Junior Brandao · Assist: P. Monteiro
Persepam Madura Utd
🟨
56'
Junior Brandao
Persepam Madura Utd
🟨
58'
K. Palic
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
69'
S. Boboev ↔ F. Aditia
PSM Makassar
🔄
69'
R. Fandi ↔ J. Medina Themopole
PSM Makassar
🔄
71'
T. Muslihuddin ↔ Riquelme
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
78'
R. Pratama ↔ R. Pratama
PSM Makassar
🔄
83'
M. Hidayat ↔ V. Dethan
PSM Makassar
🔄
90+1'
Junior Brandao ↔ Emerson Souza
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
90+1'
↔ Ilhamsyah
Persepam Madura Utd

Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Persepam Madura Utd Win 42.9%
Draw 26.8%
PSM Makassar Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Persepam Madura Utd1.2
PSM Makassar1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd
WWDLW
35 GF / 54 GA
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
WLDWL
39 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
19
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd 33 matches
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 33 matches
Persepam Madura Utd Statistic PSM Makassar
8 Wins 8
8 Draws 10
17 Losses 15
35 Goals For 39
54 Goals Against 47
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
19 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 27
19 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward PSM Makassar. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PSM Makassar having the stronger overall control.

Persepam Madura Utd Analysis

Persepam Madura Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 32 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 35:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Junior Brandao (6 goals), Lulinha (6 goals), J. Wehrmann (4 goals), with creative support from F. Alesandro (7 assists), J. Wehrmann (5 assists), Iran Junior (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

PSM Makassar Analysis

PSM Makassar sit 14 with 34 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 39:47, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alex (5 goals), Y. Fernandes (5 goals), Savio Roberto (4 goals), with creative support from Victor Luiz (9 assists), A. Raehan (3 assists), J. Medina Themopole (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Persepam Madura Utd won 6 times, PSM Makassar won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Persepam Madura Utd's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.15 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.2%)
H2H summary: Persepam Madura Utd wins 6, draws 2, PSM Makassar wins 5

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation