INDONESIA LIGA 1
--.--.---- --:--
Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Referee: G. Dapaherang
Persebaya Surabaya
Match Timeline
Persik Kediri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
R. Malik · Assist: Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🟨
16'
Gustavo Fernandes
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
27'
Rodrigo Dias ↔ Y. Munawar
Persik Kediri
🔄
38'
A. Catur ↔ K. Araya
Persebaya Surabaya
45'
Bruno · Assist: M. Raickovic
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
46'
M. Perovic ↔ Freitas Gali
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
46'
V. Yagalo ↔ N. Setiawan
Persik Kediri
🟨
52'
N. Setiawan
Persik Kediri
🟨
53'
J. Toral
Persik Kediri
🟨
56'
M. Firly
Persik Kediri
🟨
57'
Leo Navacchio
Persik Kediri
🟨
61'
A. Luna
Persik Kediri
🟨
62'
Freitas Gali
Persebaya Surabaya
65'
Gustavo Fernandes · Assist: Freitas Gali
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
68'
J. Toral ↔ M. Supriadi
Persik Kediri
🔄
68'
R. Sanjaya ↔ Meneses Chechu
Persik Kediri
🟨
78'
Y. Munawar
Persik Kediri
🔄
79'
M. Raickovic ↔ M. Baihaqi
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
79'
R. Malik ↔ Bruno Paraiba
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
80'
T. Castanheira ↔ S. Abimanyu
Persik Kediri
80'
Bruno Paraiba · Assist: F. Rivera
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
84'
E. Gomez ↔ F. Aditama
Persik Kediri
89'
Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🟨
90'
K. Araya
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
90+2'
F. Rivera ↔ O. Fernando
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
90+1'
Jefferson ↔ A. Mujtaba
Persebaya Surabaya

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Persebaya Surabaya Win 84.8%
Draw 0%
Persik Kediri Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Persebaya Surabaya1.7
Persik Kediri1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
WWDLW
56 GF / 35 GA
Persik Kediri Persik Kediri
WLDWL
42 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
17
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 33 matches
Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 33 matches
Persebaya Surabaya Statistic Persik Kediri
15 Wins 11
10 Draws 6
8 Losses 16
56 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 56
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
17 BTTS Yes 23
24 Over 1.5 29
17 Over 2.5 23
11 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Persebaya Surabaya's more proactive style and Persik Kediri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Persebaya Surabaya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 55 points compared to Persik Kediri in 12 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Persebaya Surabaya come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Persik Kediri. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Persik Kediri having the stronger overall control.

Persebaya Surabaya Analysis

Persebaya Surabaya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 55 points after 33 matches. They have recorded 15 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, with a 56:35 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on F. Rivera (13 goals), Bruno (10 goals), Freitas Gali (6 goals), with creative support from F. Rivera (7 assists), Bruno (6 assists), Freitas Gali (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Persik Kediri Analysis

With 39 points from 33 games and a place of 12, Persik Kediri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 42:56 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jose Enrique (13 goals), E. Walian (6 goals), E. Gomez (5 goals), with creative support from E. Walian (9 assists), E. Gomez (3 assists), A. Luna (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 4 times, Persik Kediri won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Persebaya Surabaya's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Persebaya Surabaya wins 4, draws 5, Persik Kediri wins 2

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation