NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

17.01.2026 17:45

PEC Zwolle

3 - 1

AZ Alkmaar

MAC³PARK Stadion

Referee: D. Higler

PEC Zwolle

Match Timeline

AZ Alkmaar

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

PEC Zwolle Win 0%

Draw 0%

AZ Alkmaar Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

PEC Zwolle1.28

AZ Alkmaar2.05

Recent Form (Last 5)

PEC Zwolle

WWDLW

22 GF / 39 GA

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWL

57 GF / 40 GA

Key Stats

1.22

Average Goals Scored

1.97

2.17

Average Goals Conceded

1.38

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.83

Shots on Goal

6.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle 18 matches

AZ Alkmaar 29 matches

PEC Zwolle	Statistic	AZ Alkmaar
5	Wins	16
5	Draws	5
8	Losses	8
22	Goals For	57
39	Goals Against	40
1.22	Avg Goals Scored	1.97
2.17	Avg Goals Conceded	1.38
11	BTTS Yes	15
15	Over 1.5	22
11	Over 2.5	19
8	Over 3.5	14
4	Clean Sheets	12
3	Failed To Score	3
2.83	Shots On Goal	6.55
8.17	Total Shots	16.79
2.28	Corners	6.03
41.5%	Ball Possession	54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-3-3 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 3, draws 4, AZ Alkmaar wins 8

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar Away	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle Home	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L