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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
06.10.2026 00:30
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Orsomarso
Match Timeline
Quindio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
A. F. Carabali R.
Quindio
🟨
11'
J. Barreiro
Orsomarso
⚽
22'
J. Lloreda
Quindio
🟨
35'
S. Agamez
Orsomarso
🟨
41'
F. Valencia
Quindio
🔄
46'
M. Ruiz ↔ K. M. Gomez
Orsomarso
🟨
58'
B. Campaz
Orsomarso
🟨
59'
J. Sandoval
Quindio
🔄
65'
J. S. Ortiz ↔ M. Castano
Quindio
🔄
65'
J. Ibarguen ↔ F. Mosquera
Quindio
🔄
65'
S. Orozco ↔ J. Cordoba
Quindio
🔄
69'
B. Campaz ↔ J. Munoz
Orsomarso
🔄
69'
S. Gonzalez ↔ J. Villarreal
Orsomarso
🔄
77'
J. Lloreda ↔ M. Bacca
Quindio
🔄
77'
Y. Torres ↔ L. Rodrigo Moran
Quindio
🔄
83'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↔ Y. Valoyes
Orsomarso

Orsomarso vs Quindio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orsomarso Win 28.7%
Draw 20.2%
Quindio Win 51.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsomarso0.75
Quindio1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Quindio Quindio
WLDWL
32 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
7
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsomarso Orsomarso 25 matches
Quindio Quindio 31 matches
Orsomarso Statistic Quindio
6 Wins 15
9 Draws 9
10 Losses 7
20 Goals For 32
27 Goals Against 21
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
7 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 16
13 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Quindio's more proactive style and Orsomarso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quindio having the stronger overall control. Quindio carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 51 points while Orsomarso sit 13 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Quindio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Orsomarso have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Orsomarso Analysis

With 26 points from 23 games and a place of 13, Orsomarso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 51 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 31:21 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orsomarso won 4 times, Quindio won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Orsomarso's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
H2H summary: Orsomarso wins 4, draws 7, Quindio wins 4

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 17 10 7 42:30 12 61
D D L W W
2 36 15 13 8 48:33 15 58
D D D D W
3 34 16 10 8 35:26 9 58
D L W W L
4 36 15 12 9 56:42 14 57
D D L D D
5 34 15 10 9 48:34 14 55
D D D W D
6 34 12 11 11 35:29 6 47
D D W D W
7 28 11 11 6 30:22 8 44
D D W W L
8 34 9 13 12 28:35 -7 40
D D D L W
9 34 10 9 15 43:46 -3 39
D W D L L
10 28 9 10 9 33:30 3 37
D L W W W
11 28 9 8 11 30:35 -5 35
L D L L L
12 27 7 10 10 33:35 -2 31
L D W W W
13 28 7 10 11 22:29 -7 31
D W L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 28 5 9 14 19:43 -24 24
W D D L L
16 28 4 11 13 24:42 -18 23
D W L D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)