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ITALY › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Parma
FT
2 - 2
AC Milan
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy
Parma
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
A. Saelemaekers · Assist: C. Nkunku
AC Milan
VAR
23'
Alexis Saelemaekers
AC Milan
⚽
25'
R. Leao
AC Milan
⚽
45'
A. Bernabe · Assist: S. Britschgi
Parma
🔄
46'
A. Ndiaye ↔ M. Troilo
Parma
🔄
60'
C. Nkunku ↔ R. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan
⚽
62'
E. Del Prato · Assist: S. Britschgi
Parma
🔄
68'
M. Lovik ↔ E. Valeri
Parma
🟨
70'
Luka Modrić
AC Milan
🔄
70'
P. Estupinan ↔ D. Bartesaghi
AC Milan
🔄
70'
S. Ricci ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
🔄
80'
A. Bernabe ↔ Hernani
Parma
🟨
86'
Oliver Sørensen
Parma
🔄
87'
K. De Winter ↔ Z. Athekame
AC Milan
🔄
90+1'
P. Cutrone ↔ B. Cremaschi
Parma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma0.68
AC Milan1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
9 GF / 14 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
20 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
3.42
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 12 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 12 matches
Parma Statistic AC Milan
2 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 1
9 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 7
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 1
3.42 Shots On Goal 5.25
10.75 Total Shots 15.75
3.33 Corners 5.67
42.8% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 4 times, AC Milan won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:32 from Parma's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Parma 3-5-2 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Parma wins 4, draws 3, AC Milan wins 8
Stats
Parma Parma
AC Milan AC Milan
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
414 Total passes 554
355 Passes accurate 487
1.88 expected_goals 1.95
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Parma
Formation
AC Milan
Z. Suzuki
Z. Suzuki
E. Del Prato
⚽
E. Del Prato
L. Valenti
L. Valenti
A. Ndiaye
↓
A. Ndiaye
S. Britschgi
🎯
S. Britschgi
A. Bernabe
⚽ ↓
A. Bernabe
M. Keita
M. Keita
O. Sorensen
O. Sorensen
M. Lovik
↓
M. Lovik
P. Cutrone
↓
P. Cutrone
M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
K. De Winter
↓
K. De Winter
M. Gabbia
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
S. Pavlovic
A. Saelemaekers
⚽
A. Saelemaekers
Y. Fofana
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
S. Ricci
↓
S. Ricci
P. Estupinan
↓
P. Estupinan
C. Nkunku
🎯 ↓
C. Nkunku
R. Leao
⚽
R. Leao
Parma 3-5-2
Starting XI
31
Z. Suzuki
G
15
E. Del Prato
⚽ 62'
D
5
L. Valenti
D
3
A. Ndiaye
↓ 46'
D
27
S. Britschgi
🎯 45' 🎯 62'
M
10
A. Bernabe
⚽ 45' ↓ 80'
M
16
M. Keita
M
22
O. Sorensen
🟨 86'
M
18
M. Lovik
↓ 68'
M
32
P. Cutrone
↓ 90+1'
F
9
M. Pellegrino
F
Substitutes
40
E. Corvi
G
66
F. Rinaldi
G
14
E. Valeri
↑ 68'
D
37
M. Troilo
↑ 46'
D
63
N. Trabucchi
D
23
Hernani
↑ 80'
M
25
B. Cremaschi
↑ 90+1'
M
65
E. Plicco
M
77
E. Tigani
M
79
A. Konate
M
7
A. Benedyczak
F
19
T. Begic
F
30
M. Djuric
F
75
A. Cardinali
F
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
5
K. De Winter
↓ 87'
D
46
M. Gabbia
D
31
S. Pavlovic
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
⚽ 12'
M
19
Y. Fofana
M
14
L. Modric
🟨 70'
M
4
S. Ricci
↓ 70'
M
2
P. Estupinan
↓ 70'
M
18
C. Nkunku
🎯 12' ↓ 60'
F
10
R. Leao
⚽ 25'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
96
L. Torriani
G
23
F. Tomori
D
24
Z. Athekame
↑ 87'
D
27
D. Odogu
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
↑ 70'
D
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
↑ 60'
M
30
A. Jashari
M
11
C. Pulisic
↑ 70'
M
Last matches: Parma
14.08.26
Cop
Parma
Catania
2
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Parma
Sampdoria
0
2
L
02.08.26
Fri
Parma
Iraklis 1908
1
1
D
30.07.26
Fri
Parma
Arezzo
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Parma
Sassuolo
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Parma
Trento
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Parma
Sassuolo
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Parma
Como
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Parma
AS Roma
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parma
Udinese
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Parma
Lazio
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Parma
Cremonese
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
Parma
Torino
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Parma
Fiorentina
0
0
D
27.02.26
Ser
Parma
Cagliari
1
1
D
22.02.26
Ser
Parma
AC Milan
1
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Parma
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
H2H: Parma vs AC Milan
22.02.26
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
W
08.11.25
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
2
D
26.01.25
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
2
L
24.08.24
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
1
W
10.04.21
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
3
L
13.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
15.07.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
L
01.12.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
0
1
L
20.04.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
1
D
02.12.18
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
L
01.02.15
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
L
14.09.14
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
4
5
L
16.03.14
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
4
W
27.10.13
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
3
2
W
15.02.13
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
L
Last matches: Parma
14.08.26
Cop
Parma
Catania
2
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Parma
Sampdoria
0
2
L
02.08.26
Fri
Parma
Iraklis 1908
1
1
D
30.07.26
Fri
Parma
Arezzo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Parma
Sassuolo
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Parma
AS Roma
2
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Parma
Cremonese
0
2
L
27.02.26
Ser
Parma
Cagliari
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Parma
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ser
Parma
Juventus
1
4
L
18.01.26
Ser
Parma
Genoa
0
0
D
07.01.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Parma
Fiorentina
1
0
W
13.12.25
Ser
Parma
Lazio
0
1
L
29.11.25
Ser
Parma
Udinese
0
2
L
02.11.25
Ser
Parma
Bologna
1
3
L
25.10.25
Ser
Parma
Como
0
0
D
04.10.25
Ser
Parma
Lecce
0
1
L
H2H at home: Parma
08.11.25
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
2
D
24.08.24
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
1
W
10.04.21
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
3
L
01.12.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
0
1
L
20.04.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
1
D
14.09.14
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
4
5
L
27.10.13
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
3
2
W
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
15.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
3
1
W
11.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
1
D
02.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
0
W
18.12.25
Sup
AC Milan
Napoli
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
28.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
1
D
H2H away: AC Milan
08.11.25
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
2
D
24.08.24
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
1
L
10.04.21
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
3
W
01.12.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
0
1
W
20.04.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
1
D
14.09.14
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
4
5
W
27.10.13
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
3
2
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan Away
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Home
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B