ECUADOR LIGA PRO
17.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Referee: Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga, Ecuador
Aucas
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Richard Mina
LDU de Quito
35'
Y. Quinonez · Assist: J. Rodriguez
LDU de Quito
🟨
43'
Gian Franco Allala
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
E. Preciado ↔ B. Oyola
Aucas
🔄
46'
L. Arroyo ↔ C. Zambrano
Aucas
🟨
48'
Alejandro Tobar
LDU de Quito
🔄
54'
R. Redes ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
🟨
58'
Luis Gustavino
Aucas
🟨
68'
Ruddy Mina
LDU de Quito
🔄
69'
A. Garcia ↔ M. A. Carcelen Carabali
Aucas
🔄
71'
P. Ortiz ↔ J. Carabali
LDU de Quito
🔄
71'
J. Rodriguez ↔ F. Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
71'
C. Luna Tobar ↔ J. Pretell
LDU de Quito
🟨
75'
Agostino Spina
Aucas
🔄
82'
A. Mena ↔ R. Bolanos
Aucas
🔄
82'
A. Alvarado ↔ S. Gonzalez Baquero
LDU de Quito
🟨
86'
Cristhoper Zambrano
Aucas
🟨
90+4'
Brian Oyola
Aucas
🟨
90+10'
Alexander Domínguez
LDU de Quito
🟨
90+4'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito

Aucas vs LDU de Quito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aucas Win 63.2%
Draw 5.8%
LDU de Quito Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas1.03
LDU de Quito1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aucas Aucas
WWDLW
30 GF / 26 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
37 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
9
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
8
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aucas Aucas 26 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 34 matches
Aucas Statistic LDU de Quito
13 Wins 15
5 Draws 8
8 Losses 11
30 Goals For 37
26 Goals Against 29
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
9 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 21
10 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 13
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.52
12.04 Total Shots 13.97
5 Corners 5.16
50.5% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aucas expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and LDU de Quito in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring LDU de Quito. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 41 points after 24 matches. The return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 29:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Ayrton Preciado (3 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), with creative support from Ayrton Preciado (3 assists), Piero Guzmán (3 assists), Andres Mena (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

LDU de Quito Analysis

From their first 24 matches, LDU de Quito have collected 35 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 4 times, LDU de Quito won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Aucas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Aucas 4-1-4-1 / LDU de Quito 3-5-2
H2H summary: Aucas wins 4, draws 6, LDU de Quito wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 23 2 4 70:31 39 71
W L D W W
2 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
3
Aucas Home
30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
4 29 13 9 7 49:26 23 48
W D D W D
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 29 11 10 8 31:24 7 43
D W L W D
7 29 11 8 10 31:31 0 41
W D L W D
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 29 9 6 14 35:45 -10 33
W L L L W
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 29 7 6 16 18:30 -12 27
L W L L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs