Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
26 matches
LDU de Quito
34 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 15 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 30 | Goals For | 37 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.52 |
| 12.04 | Total Shots | 13.97 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aucas expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and LDU de Quito in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring LDU de Quito. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Aucas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 41 points after 24 matches. The return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 29:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Ayrton Preciado (3 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), with creative support from Ayrton Preciado (3 assists), Piero Guzmán (3 assists), Andres Mena (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
From their first 24 matches, LDU de Quito have collected 35 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 4 times, LDU de Quito won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Aucas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Aucas
4
2
13
0
5
1
Lineups
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Aucas
Home
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
Away
|
26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|