🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
17.08.2026 00:30
Q2 Stadium
Referee: R. Touchan
Austin
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Ramiro
FC Dallas
🟨
35'
Mateja Đorđević
Austin
45'
L. Abubakar · Assist: S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
46'
I. Sanchez ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
46'
J. Rosales ↔ F. Torres
Austin
57'
E. Torres
Austin
🟨
60'
Bernard Kamungo
FC Dallas
🟨
63'
Joaquín Valiente
FC Dallas
🔄
63'
J. Gallagher ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
63'
C. Ramirez ↔ B. Vazquez
Austin
🟨
68'
Oleksandr Svatok
Austin
🔄
70'
S. Moreno ↔ L. Farrington
FC Dallas
73'
P. Musa · Assist: J. Valiente
FC Dallas
🔄
79'
Ramiro ↔ Kaick
FC Dallas
🔄
82'
Guilherme Biro ↔ J. Nelson
Austin
🟨
83'
Osaze Urhoghide
FC Dallas
🔄
85'
P. Musa ↔ R. Binyamin
FC Dallas
🔄
85'
J. Valiente ↔ C. Holstad
FC Dallas
🟨
90+9'
Myrto Uzuni
Austin

Austin vs FC Dallas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 40.3%
Draw 12.7%
FC Dallas Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.16
FC Dallas1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
29 GF / 44 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
40 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
11
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
14
3.94
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 26 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 22 matches
Austin Statistic FC Dallas
6 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
13 Losses 6
29 Goals For 40
44 Goals Against 27
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
11 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 6
3.94 Shots On Goal 4.39
10.5 Total Shots 12
4.17 Corners 4.44
47.3% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Dallas's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Dallas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 27 points while Austin sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Dallas. Austin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austin expected to line up in 3-4-3 and FC Dallas in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control.

Austin Analysis

Austin sit 14 with 17 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:36, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas sit 6 with 27 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 32:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Petar Musa (6 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), Santiago Moreno (2 goals), with creative support from Petar Musa (2 assists), Ran Binyamin (2 assists), Santiago Moreno (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 3 times, FC Dallas won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:26 from Austin's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Austin 3-4-3 / FC Dallas 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Austin wins 3, draws 3, FC Dallas wins 9

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)