LITHUANIA A LYGA
--.--.---- --:--
Aukstaitijos Stadium
Referee: D. Simenas
Panevėžys
Match Timeline
Džiugas Telšiai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
P. Bizoza
Panevėžys
28'
E. Burdzilauskas
Panevėžys
🔄
34'
S. Keita ↔ J. Janusevskis
Panevėžys
🟨
45+3'
D. Zevzikovas
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
46'
I. E. Scotto ↔ D. Bunchukov
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
46'
S. Keita ↔ J. Janusevskis
Panevėžys
🔄
46'
I. E. Scotto ↔ D. Bunchukov
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
46'
D. Zevzikovas ↔ Pedro Bahia
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
62'
Pedro Bahia
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
62'
D. Vinckus ↔ Andrezinho
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
64'
V. Paulauskas
Panevėžys
🟨
64'
N. Pavlovskij
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
69'
P. Bizoza ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
🔄
69'
V. Paulauskas ↔ M. van den Bos
Panevėžys
🟨
71'
V. Vermeulen
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
72'
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
74'
N. Pavlovskij ↔ T. Stelmokas
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
78'
M. van den Bos
Panevėžys
87'
B. Asomugha
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
89'
D. Balsys ↔ Elivelton
Panevėžys
🟨
90+2'
S. Kerkez
Panevėžys

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.4%
1.44
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.01
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Panevėžys Win 30.6%
Draw 21.6%
Džiugas Telšiai Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panevėžys1.13
Džiugas Telšiai1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WWDLW
34 GF / 45 GA
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai
WLDWL
38 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
18
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panevėžys Panevėžys 30 matches
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 29 matches
Panevėžys Statistic Džiugas Telšiai
11 Wins 11
7 Draws 10
12 Losses 8
34 Goals For 38
45 Goals Against 33
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
18 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Džiugas Telšiai's more proactive style and Panevėžys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Džiugas Telšiai. Panevėžys have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Džiugas Telšiai carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 33 points while Panevėžys sit 8 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panevėžys expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Džiugas Telšiai in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Džiugas Telšiai having the stronger overall control.

Panevėžys Analysis

Panevėžys approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 19 points from 20 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 18:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Džiugas Telšiai Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 33 points after 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Panevėžys won 4 times, Džiugas Telšiai won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Panevėžys's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
Predicted formations: Panevėžys 4-3-3 / Džiugas Telšiai 5-4-1
H2H summary: Panevėžys wins 4, draws 6, Džiugas Telšiai wins 4
Last matches: Panevėžys
30.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
11.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
L
04.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
29.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
20.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
3
2
W
16.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
L
12.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
30.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
4
L
24.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
06.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
2
3
L
03.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
25.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
1
L
18.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
1
3
L
12.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
05.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
21.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
15.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Trakai
2
1
W
10.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
4
L
Last matches: Džiugas Telšiai
26.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
19.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
03.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
0
0
D
28.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
0
D
21.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
17.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
12.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
4
3
W
30.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
4
0
W
24.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
2
W
16.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
0
1
L
09.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Trakai
1
0
W
05.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
2
2
D
01.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
3
0
W
26.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
L
19.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
2
3
L
12.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
1
0
W
05.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
0
W
22.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
15.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
11.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Trakai
2
0
W
H2H: Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai
30.05.26
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
4
0
L
05.04.26
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
10.01.26
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
4
W
08.08.25
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
13.06.25
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
22.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
18.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
3
3
D
02.03.24
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
0
0
D
12.02.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
12.11.23
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
0
3
W
11.06.23
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
4
0
W
Last matches: Panevėžys
23.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
04.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
29.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
20.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
3
2
W
12.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
24.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
03.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
05.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
15.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Trakai
2
1
W
07.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
22.02.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Panevėžys
Metta / LU
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
Tukums
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
08.11.25
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
1
W
22.10.25
A L
Panevėžys
FK Trakai
0
1
L
H2H at home: Panevėžys
05.04.26
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
10.01.26
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
08.08.25
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
22.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
18.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
0
W
12.02.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
12.11.23
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
11.06.23
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
4
0
W
Last matches: Džiugas Telšiai
26.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
17.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
05.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
2
2
D
19.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
2
3
L
05.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
0
W
22.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
15.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
11.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Trakai
2
0
W
28.02.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
21.02.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Tukums
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
0
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Tauras
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
1
D
08.11.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
2
2
D
23.10.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
4
L
26.09.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
21.09.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
22.08.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Trakai
2
0
W
H2H away: Džiugas Telšiai
05.04.26
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
W
10.01.26
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
08.08.25
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
W
22.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
18.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
0
L
12.02.24
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
12.11.23
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
11.06.23
H2H
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.41
Draw 3.11
Home 2.93
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.16
Home 3.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.75
Over 2.5 2.01
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.75
Over 3.25 3.08
Under 1.5 3.24
Under 1.75 2.93
Under 2.0 2.53
Under 2.25 2.05
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 2.75 1.61
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 3.40
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.10
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.40
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 3.04
Home 2.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 1.96
Home 3.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.66
Draw 2.34
Home 3.26
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.71
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.19
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.99
Over 3.5 3.28
Over 3.75 4.15
Over 4.0 5.80
Over 4.25 6.20
Over 4.5 6.60
Over 4.75 8.10
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.80
Under 0.75 8.10
Under 1.0 7.40
Under 1.25 4.31
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.84
Under 2.0 2.43
Under 2.25 1.99
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 3.75 1.16
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.16
Draw 3.10
Home 2.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.15
Home 3.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 3.5 3.20
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.27

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 10 5 7 32:29 3 35
W W L L D
2 20 9 7 4 38:15 23 34
W W D W L
3 21 10 4 7 33:24 9 34
W W W D L
4 22 9 7 6 30:24 6 34
D L W D D
5 20 8 9 3 26:17 9 33
W D W W W
6 21 9 6 6 25:16 9 33
W L W W W
7 23 4 10 9 26:39 -13 22
L L W L D
8 21 5 5 11 19:38 -19 20
D L D L W
9 22 2 7 13 19:46 -27 13
L L L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L