Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Palmeiras
Santos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
16 matches
Santos
13 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 27 | Goals For | 18 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.88 | Shots On Goal | 3.23 |
| 13.44 | Total Shots | 12.15 |
| 5.81 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Palmeiras's more proactive style and Santos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palmeiras arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 32 points compared to Santos in 17 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Palmeiras come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Santos.
Operating from 1 place with 32 points from 13 games, Palmeiras bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 23:10, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Lopez (4 goals), Allan Elias (3 goals), G. Gomez (3 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (8 assists), J. Lopez (3 assists), Marlon Freitas (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Santos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 14 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 18:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals), Neymar (3 goals), A. Barreal (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Moises (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 10 times, Santos won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:8 from Palmeiras's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Palmeiras
3
4
13
4
6
6
Lineups
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Sao Paulo
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Santos
Away
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|