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BRAZIL › SERIE A
24.10.2026 21:30
Arena Barueri

Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 85.1%
Draw 4%
RB Bragantino Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.48
RB Bragantino1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WWDLW
71 GF / 32 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
41 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
24
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
13
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palmeiras Palmeiras 42 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 32 matches
Palmeiras Statistic RB Bragantino
25 Wins 12
12 Draws 8
5 Losses 12
71 Goals For 41
32 Goals Against 37
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
24 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 4
17 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 7
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.45
15.76 Total Shots 17.03
5.9 Corners 5.94
52.6% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward RB Bragantino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palmeiras expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and RB Bragantino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward RB Bragantino having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Palmeiras arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 63 points compared to RB Bragantino in 9 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Palmeiras Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 63 points from 30 games, Palmeiras bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a 52:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. López (8 goals), Maurício (6 goals), Vitor Roque (5 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (10 assists), J. López (3 assists), Allan (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

RB Bragantino Analysis

From their first 30 matches, RB Bragantino have collected 40 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 38:35 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (6 goals), Fernando (3 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (4 assists), I. Pitta (3 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 8 times, RB Bragantino won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Palmeiras's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 3-4-2-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 8, draws 5, RB Bragantino wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 20 7 4 61:25 36 67
W W D W W
2 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 31 15 6 10 50:46 4 51
W L W W L
5 31 14 9 8 49:39 10 51
L L W W L
6 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
7 31 13 10 8 44:39 5 49
L W L L W
8 31 12 9 10 48:46 2 45
W L D W W
9 31 12 6 13 36:35 1 42
W W L L W
10 31 11 8 12 39:36 3 41
D W D L L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 31 10 7 14 34:45 -11 37
D L W L D
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 30 9 8 13 36:43 -7 35
L D W W W
16 31 8 9 14 32:39 -7 33
D L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 31 7 10 14 34:44 -10 31
L D D D L
19 31 5 11 15 34:49 -15 26
D D D L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B