BRAZIL › SERIE A
03.04.2026 00:30
Arena Barueri
Referee: B. Arleu
Palmeiras
Match Timeline
Gremio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Pedro Gabriel
Gremio
⚽
44'
Marlon Freitas · Assist: Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
🔄
46'
E. Noriega ↔ Dodi
Gremio
🔄
46'
Tete ↔ F. Amuzu
Gremio
🔄
46'
M. Monsalve ↔ Gabriel Mec
Gremio
⚽
54'
Carlos Vinicius · Assist: Gustavo Martins
Gremio
🔄
67'
Jefte ↔ Arthur Gabriel
Palmeiras
🔄
71'
Mauricio ↔ Felipe Anderson
Palmeiras
🔄
72'
J. Lopez ↔ R. Sosa
Palmeiras
⚽
72'
Marlon Freitas
Palmeiras
🟨
74'
Gustavo Martins
Gremio
🔄
76'
J. Enamorado ↔ M. Braithwaite
Gremio
🔄
80'
J. Nardoni ↔ Bernardo Zortea
Gremio
🔄
84'
Allan Elias ↔ Lucas Evangelista
Palmeiras
🔄
84'
J. Arias ↔ Khellven
Palmeiras
🟨
86'
Dodi
Gremio

Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.88
Gremio1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WWDLW
17 GF / 8 GA
Gremio Gremio
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
5.38
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palmeiras Palmeiras 8 matches
Gremio Gremio 8 matches
Palmeiras Statistic Gremio
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
17 Goals For 13
8 Goals Against 12
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
5.38 Shots On Goal 4.63
12.38 Total Shots 12.63
4.5 Corners 4.25
45.4% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 8 times, Gremio won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Palmeiras's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Palmeiras 3, Gremio 7
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 8, draws 3, Gremio wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B