Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
19 matches
Cruzeiro
19 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 1 | Losses | 7 |
| 31 | Goals For | 23 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 4.37 |
| 14.58 | Total Shots | 13.21 |
| 6.63 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Cruzeiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palmeiras arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Cruzeiro in 11 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cruzeiro. Cruzeiro look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Palmeiras arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 34 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 25:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Lopez (5 goals), Allan Elias (3 goals), G. Gomez (3 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), J. Lopez (3 assists), Allan Elias (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 15 matches, Cruzeiro have collected 19 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Christian (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (3 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), with creative support from L. Romero (3 assists), Matheus Pereira (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 6 times, Cruzeiro won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Palmeiras's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Palmeiras
2
4
9
4
5
3
Lineups
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Junior
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Gremio
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
