Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 0%
Draw 0%
Corinthians Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.38
Corinthians0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras
WWDLW
62 GF / 30 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
40 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1
22
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
12
5.13
Shots on Goal
3.79
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
38 matches
Corinthians
39 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 12 |
| 12 | Draws | 13 |
| 5 | Losses | 14 |
| 62 | Goals For | 40 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.79 |
| 15.82 | Total Shots | 11.89 |
| 6.13 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 53.9% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 4 times, Corinthians won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Palmeiras's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 3-4-2-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 4, draws 7, Corinthians wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Corinthians
Away
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B