Palmeiras vs Corinthians H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsPalmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
39 matches
Corinthians
40 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 12 |
| 12 | Draws | 13 |
| 5 | Losses | 15 |
| 63 | Goals For | 41 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.28 | Shots On Goal | 3.87 |
| 16.08 | Total Shots | 12.13 |
| 6.15 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Corinthians's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Corinthians arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palmeiras expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Corinthians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Palmeiras arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 57 points compared to Corinthians in 14 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Corinthians.
Palmeiras come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 57 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, while the 47:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. López (7 goals), Maurício (6 goals), Vitor Roque (5 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (10 assists), J. López (3 assists), Allan (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 32 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 29:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Garro (3 goals), Yuri Alberto (3 goals), Andre (3 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), Andre (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 4 times, Corinthians won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Palmeiras's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | 36 | 67 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | 32 | 66 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | 5 | 54 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 53 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 49 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | 1 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 |
Corinthians
Away
|
31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
L
|