BRAZIL › SERIE A

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Palmeiras

1 - 0

Chapecoense-sc

Allianz Parque

Referee: F. Fernandes de Lima

Palmeiras

Match Timeline

Chapecoense-sc

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 88%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 27.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 32%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	88%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	27.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	32%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	90%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Palmeiras Win 88%

Draw 5.3%

Chapecoense-sc Win 6.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras1.82

Chapecoense-sc0.95

Recent Form (Last 5)

Palmeiras

WWDLW

39 GF / 18 GA

Chapecoense-sc

WLDWL

17 GF / 32 GA

Key Stats

1.7

Average Goals Scored

1.06

0.78

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.87

Shots on Goal

3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palmeiras 23 matches

Chapecoense-sc 16 matches

Palmeiras	Statistic	Chapecoense-sc
14	Wins	1
7	Draws	6
2	Losses	9
39	Goals For	17
18	Goals Against	32
1.7	Avg Goals Scored	1.06
0.78	Avg Goals Conceded	2
15	BTTS Yes	11
17	Over 1.5	15
11	Over 2.5	8
4	Over 3.5	5
7	Clean Sheets	1
2	Failed To Score	5
4.87	Shots On Goal	3.44
14.48	Total Shots	12.69
6.17	Corners	3.75
52.7%	Ball Possession	42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 9 times, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Palmeiras's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)

Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-3-3 / Chapecoense-sc 4-4-1-1

Missing players: Palmeiras 13, Chapecoense-sc 6

H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 9, draws 2, Chapecoense-sc wins 4

Standings

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Palmeiras Home	25	15	7	3	45:21	24	52	D W L D W
2	Flamengo	24	14	6	4	48:21	27	48	W L W W D
3	Atletico Paranaense	25	13	6	6	37:25	12	45	D W D W D
4	Fluminense	25	11	9	5	39:32	7	42	D W W D D
5	Bahia	25	10	10	5	37:30	7	40	W W D D D
6	Cruzeiro	25	11	6	8	35:36	-1	39	L W W W W
7	Coritiba	25	10	7	8	33:33	0	37	W W D W L
8	Atletico-MG	24	10	6	8	32:28	4	36	W D W D W
9	RB Bragantino	24	10	5	9	29:25	4	35	L W D L D
10	Corinthians	25	8	8	9	26:25	1	32	L L L W D
11	Sao Paulo	24	8	6	10	29:28	1	30	W L D L D
12	Botafogo	24	8	6	10	37:40	-3	30	L L L D W
13	Vitoria	25	8	5	12	24:37	-13	29	L L W L L
14	Santos	24	7	8	9	34:36	-2	29	W D W L D
15	Gremio	24	7	7	10	27:32	-5	28	W L L W D
16	Mirassol	24	6	7	11	27:37	-10	25	D D L L W
17	Vasco DA Gama	24	6	7	11	27:39	-12	25	W L L D D
18	Internacional	25	5	10	10	26:31	-5	25	L D D D D
19	Remo	25	5	8	12	30:42	-12	23	L L D D L
20	Chapecoense-sc Away	24	2	8	14	25:49	-24	14	L W D L D

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)

Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)

Relegation - Serie B