ITALY SERIE B
07.09.2026 18:30
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: M. Marchetti
Palermo
Match Timeline
Sampdoria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Gabriel Strefezza · Assist: Tommaso Augello
Palermo
🟨
18'
Liam Henderson
Sampdoria
🟨
18'
Lorenzo Insigne
Sampdoria
🔄
21'
Gabriel Strefezza ↔ Dominic Vavassori
Palermo
33'
Joel Pohjanpalo
Palermo
🔄
45'
Hernani ↔ Antonio Palumbo
Palermo
🟨
47'
Mattia Bani
Palermo
🔄
53'
Danel Sinani ↔ Tjas Begic
Sampdoria
63'
Lorenzo Insigne
Sampdoria
🔄
65'
Niccolo Pierozzi ↔ Tommaso Cassandro
Palermo
🔄
65'
Filippo·Ranocchia ↔ Nahuel Estévez
Palermo
🔄
70'
Lorenzo Insigne ↔ Oliver Abildgaard
Sampdoria
🔄
83'
Yari Verschaeren ↔ Lorenzo Mezzotero
Sampdoria
🔄
84'
Joel Pohjanpalo ↔ Alessandro Gabrielloni
Palermo
🟨
90+2'
Antonio Palumbo
Palermo
90+4'
Antonio Palumbo · Assist: Dennis Johnsen
Palermo
🟨
90+6'
Manuel Cicconi
Sampdoria

Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
1.66
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 68.1%
Draw 5.1%
Sampdoria Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo1.78
Sampdoria1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
WWDLW
23 GF / 10 GA
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WLDWL
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
6.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 10 matches
Sampdoria Sampdoria 7 matches
Palermo Statistic Sampdoria
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
23 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 7
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
6.5 Shots On Goal 6
14.5 Total Shots 14.67
3.75 Corners 6
48.3% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 5 times, Sampdoria won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Palermo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 4-3-3 / Sampdoria 4-3-3
H2H summary: Palermo wins 5, draws 8, Sampdoria wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation