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ITALY › SERIE B
07.09.2026 18:30
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Palermo
Match Timeline
Sampdoria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
G. Strefezza · Assist: T. Augello
Palermo
🟨
18'
Lorenzo Insigne
Sampdoria
🟨
18'
Liam Henderson
Sampdoria
🔄
21'
G. Strefezza ↔ D. Vavassori
Palermo
⚽
33'
J. Pohjanpalo
Palermo
🔄
46'
Hernani ↔ A. Palumbo
Palermo
🟨
47'
Mattia Bani
Palermo
🔄
53'
D. Sinani ↔ T. Begic
Sampdoria
⚽
63'
L. Insigne
Sampdoria
🔄
65'
N. Pierozzi ↔ T. Cassandro
Palermo
🔄
65'
F. Ranocchia ↔ N. Estevez
Palermo
🔄
70'
L. Insigne ↔ O. Abildgaard
Sampdoria
🔄
83'
Y. Verschaeren ↔ L. Mezzotero
Sampdoria
🔄
84'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ A. Gabrielloni
Palermo
🟨
90+2'
Antonio Palumbo
Palermo
🟨
90+6'
Manuel Cicconi
Sampdoria
⚽
90'
A. Palumbo · Assist: D. Johnsen
Palermo

Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 68.1%
Draw 5.1%
Sampdoria Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo1.78
Sampdoria1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
WWDLW
23 GF / 10 GA
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WLDWL
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
6.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 10 matches
Sampdoria Sampdoria 7 matches
Palermo Statistic Sampdoria
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
23 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 7
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
6.5 Shots On Goal 6
14.5 Total Shots 14.67
3.75 Corners 6
48.3% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 5 times, Sampdoria won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Palermo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 4-3-3 / Sampdoria 4-3-3
H2H summary: Palermo wins 5, draws 8, Sampdoria wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation