HUNGARY NB I
05.09.2026 18:00
Referee: M. Kapraly
Paks
Match Timeline
Debreceni VSC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
A. Szendrei · Assist: I. Egri
Debreceni VSC
22'
A. Szendrei · Assist: C. Denes
Debreceni VSC
24'
Z. Haraszti
Paks
39'
A. Guerrero
Debreceni VSC
🔄
46'
K. Horvath ↔ J. Windecker
Paks
🔄
46'
C. Belenyesi ↔ B. Toth
Paks
🔄
55'
B. Dzsudzsak ↔ C. Sain Balasz
Debreceni VSC
🔄
68'
D. Patai ↔ S. Samper
Debreceni VSC
🔄
68'
I. Egri ↔ S. Baldoni
Debreceni VSC
🔄
68'
A. Szendrei ↔ B. Adinany
Debreceni VSC
71'
G. Vas
Debreceni VSC
🔄
75'
A. Lapu ↔ M. Simut
Paks
🔄
75'
J. Szalai ↔ J. Galambos
Paks
🔄
76'
P. Andreev ↔ B. Erdelyi
Debreceni VSC
81'
B. Toth · Assist: M. Gyorfi
Paks
🟨
88'
János Szabó
Paks
🟨
89'
Csanád Vilmos Dénes
Debreceni VSC

Paks vs Debreceni VSC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds 1.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
1.94
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Paks Win 64%
Draw 11.3%
Debreceni VSC Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paks2.31
Debreceni VSC1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paks Paks
WWDLW
59 GF / 43 GA
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC
WLDWL
16 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.68
Average Goals Scored
1
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
17
BTTS Yes
9
19
Over 2.5
8
5.25
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paks Paks 22 matches
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC 16 matches
Paks Statistic Debreceni VSC
8 Wins 4
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
59 Goals For 16
43 Goals Against 28
2.68 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
17 BTTS Yes 9
21 Over 1.5 11
19 Over 2.5 8
15 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
5.25 Shots On Goal 3.5
14.63 Total Shots 14.7
5.75 Corners 7.6
46.1% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Debreceni VSC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paks expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Debreceni VSC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Debreceni VSC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Paks Analysis

So far, Paks have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 12:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on József Szalai (6 goals), Milán Pető (3 goals), József Windecker (2 goals), with creative support from Andor Lapu (2 assists), Kristóf Papp (2 assists), Zsolt Haraszti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Debreceni VSC Analysis

So far, Debreceni VSC have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 6 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Ákos Szendrei (1 goals), Balázs Dzsudzsák (1 goals), Adrián Guerrero (1 goals), with creative support from Ákos Szendrei (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paks won 5 times, Debreceni VSC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Paks's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Paks 3-5-2 / Debreceni VSC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Paks wins 5, draws 6, Debreceni VSC wins 4

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 4 3 1 16:10 6 15
W W L D W
2 8 5 0 3 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
3 8 4 2 2 17:11 6 14
W W L L W
4 8 4 2 2 17:13 4 14
W D W L D
5 7 3 3 1 11:8 3 12
D D W W W
6
Paks Home
8 3 2 3 16:17 -1 11
W L D W L
7 8 2 3 3 15:14 1 9
L L D W D
8 8 2 3 3 9:10 -1 9
L W D D L
9 8 2 3 3 12:15 -3 9
L W D D D
10 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
D L D L W
11 7 1 3 3 11:14 -3 6
L L W L D
12 8 2 0 6 7:17 -10 6
L W L L L
Play-offs
Relegation