ECUADOR LIGA PRO
08.09.2026 00:00
Estadio 9 de Mayo
Referee: C. Gutierrez
Orense SC
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Christian Alejandro Ortíz Calle · Assist: Valentín Burgoa
Orense SC
🟨
9'
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
Orense SC
VAR
33'
P. González
Guayaquil City FC
35'
Diego Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
38'
Edinson Mero · Assist: Diego Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
42'
P. González
Guayaquil City FC
VAR
45+4'
W. Herrera
Orense SC
45+5'
W. Herrera
Orense SC
🟨
45+1'
Janvier Yardely Rodríguez López
Guayaquil City FC
VAR
45+1'
Oscar Quiñonez
Orense SC
🔄
45'
Gilmar Napa ↔ Jorge Pinos
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
59'
S Laurino ↔ Pablo Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
64'
P. González ↔ Kevin Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
66'
Andrés Parrales ↔ Ángel Mena
Orense SC
🔄
68'
R. Arias ↔ Erick Patricio Ladines Calvache
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
74'
Oscar Quiñonez ↔ Alan Gastón Lorenzo
Orense SC
75'
Valentín Burgoa · Assist: Nixon Molina
Orense SC
77'
Diego Dorregaray · Assist: Edinson Mero
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
80'
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes ↔ Renny Jaramillo
Orense SC
🔄
80'
Christian Alejandro Ortíz Calle ↔ Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
Orense SC
VAR
80'
Dixon Arroyo
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
82'
Gabriel Achilier
Orense SC
90+2'
Valentín Burgoa
Orense SC

Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.1%
1.73
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.2%
1.73
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Orense SC Win 36.9%
Draw 22.9%
Guayaquil City FC Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orense SC1.12
Guayaquil City FC1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orense SC Orense SC
WWDLW
31 GF / 42 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
17
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
12
3.64
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orense SC Orense SC 28 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 31 matches
Orense SC Statistic Guayaquil City FC
8 Wins 10
6 Draws 9
14 Losses 12
31 Goals For 30
42 Goals Against 35
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
17 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 11
3.64 Shots On Goal 3.29
10.71 Total Shots 8.46
3.89 Corners 2.96
49.3% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Orense SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guayaquil City FC.

Orense SC Analysis

With 30 points from 26 games and a place of 12, Orense SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 30:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Agustin Herrera (7 goals), Sergio Vásquez (4 goals), Michael Bermúdez (3 goals), with creative support from Sergio Vásquez (3 assists), Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Agustin Herrera (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 36 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 27:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 4 times, Guayaquil City FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Orense SC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.1%)
Predicted formations: Orense SC 4-2-3-1 / Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Orense SC wins 4, draws 2, Guayaquil City FC wins 3

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
L W W D D
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
W D W D L
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
D L D D W
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D D L W L
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
D W L L W
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D D L W L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs