BRAZIL SERIE B
26.09.2026 19:30

Operario-PR vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 66.1%
Draw 6%
Ceara Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.35
Ceara1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
39 GF / 36 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
31 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
16
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
11
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 28 matches
Ceara Ceara 29 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Ceara
12 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
39 Goals For 31
36 Goals Against 37
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
16 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.17
14.18 Total Shots 13.59
4.75 Corners 5.62
52.3% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Operario-PR's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ceara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Operario-PR Analysis

So far, Operario-PR have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 44 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 39:36 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Boschilia (11 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinícius Diniz (5 goals), with creative support from Boschilia (3 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (3 assists), Mikael Doka (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 35 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 31:37 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (4 goals), Richard (4 goals), Lucas Lima (3 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Matheus Araújo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 1 times, Ceara won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Operario-PR's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-2-3-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 1, draws 1, Ceara wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15
Ceara Away
29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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