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BRAZIL › SERIE B
23.10.2026 22:30

Operario-PR vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 44.6%
Draw 26%
Athletic Club Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.23
Athletic Club1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
44 GF / 46 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
40 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
18
BTTS Yes
20
21
Over 2.5
14
4.15
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 34 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 34 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Athletic Club
13 Wins 10
9 Draws 14
12 Losses 10
44 Goals For 40
46 Goals Against 39
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
18 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 9
4.15 Shots On Goal 3.44
14.15 Total Shots 11.76
5.06 Corners 4.24
52.1% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Athletic Club's more proactive style and Operario-PR's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Athletic Club. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Operario-PR have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Operario-PR Analysis

With 48 points from 33 games and a place of 10, Operario-PR still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats with a 44:45 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Boschilia (12 goals), Vinícius Diniz (6 goals), Pablo (5 goals), with creative support from Boschilia (4 assists), Mikael Doka (4 assists), Aylon (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 13 with 43 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 40:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), W. Aponza (4 goals), with creative support from Kauan (4 assists), Max (4 assists), Ian Luccas (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 1 times, Athletic Club won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Operario-PR's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 3-4-3
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 1, draws 0, Athletic Club wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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