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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
17.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto

San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Telmo Win 51.2%
Draw 13.2%
Defensores De Belgrano Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Telmo0.9
Defensores De Belgrano0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Telmo San Telmo
WWDLW
28 GF / 37 GA
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WLDWL
25 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Telmo San Telmo 33 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 33 matches
San Telmo Statistic Defensores De Belgrano
9 Wins 8
10 Draws 13
14 Losses 12
28 Goals For 25
37 Goals Against 32
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
11 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 1
12 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Defensores De Belgrano. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores De Belgrano having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

San Telmo Analysis

So far, San Telmo have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 37 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 28:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

Defensores De Belgrano sit 11 with 37 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 25:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo won 3 times, Defensores De Belgrano won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from San Telmo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
H2H summary: San Telmo wins 3, draws 7, Defensores De Belgrano wins 5

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
12 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation