Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.2%
|
1.81 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
1.88 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
19.00 |
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional Asuncion
35 matches
Deportivo Recoleta
35 matches
| Nacional Asuncion | Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 10 |
| 14 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 19 |
| 51 | Goals For | 49 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.06 | Shots On Goal | 3.49 |
| 11.69 | Total Shots | 10.54 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 4 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nacional Asuncion's more proactive style and Deportivo Recoleta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Nacional Asuncion arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 22 points compared to Deportivo Recoleta in 11 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Deportivo Recoleta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Nacional Asuncion come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 22 points after 12 matches. The return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 19:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Benítez (4 goals), I. Valdez (4 goals), L. Meza (2 goals), with creative support from H. Benítez (3 assists), O. Gaona (3 assists), J. Colmán (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Recoleta sit 11 with 8 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 14:26 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. González (2 goals), P. Charpentier (2 goals), H. López (2 goals), with creative support from W. Báez (2 assists), A. González (1 assists), P. Charpentier (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 2 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 27 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 25 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 10 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Nacional Asuncion
Home
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 23 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 13 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Away
|
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | -18 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|