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12.10.2026 18:00
Monumental de Villa Lynch
UAI Urquiza
Match Timeline
Real Pilar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
64'
E. Ibanez ↔ N. Rios
UAI Urquiza
🔄
70'
V. Mancini ↔ J. Cesar
Real Pilar
🔄
70'
B. Martin ↔ D. Gonzalez
Real Pilar
🔄
71'
L. Arcuri ↔ A. Marin
UAI Urquiza
🔄
71'
F. Mesa ↔ E. Diaz
UAI Urquiza
🔄
80'
V. Rodriguez ↔ V. Ciancio
UAI Urquiza
🔄
80'
F. Galli ↔ R. Scarcella
UAI Urquiza
🔄
81'
D. Leguiza ↔ G. Isola
Real Pilar
⚽
84'
E. Diaz
UAI Urquiza
🔄
87'
M. Crocco ↔ N. Rios
Real Pilar
🔄
87'
F. Pansardi ↔ T. Delari
Real Pilar

UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
66.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UAI Urquiza Win 27.8%
Draw 14.3%
Real Pilar Win 57.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
UAI Urquiza0.75
Real Pilar1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
W D L L W
6 GF / 6 GA
Real Pilar Real Pilar
W L W W L
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
11
BTTS Yes
19
8
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 38 matches
Real Pilar Real Pilar 39 matches
UAI Urquiza Statistic Real Pilar
5 Wins 17
20 Draws 10
13 Losses 12
21 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 41
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
11 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 27
8 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 4
17 Clean Sheets 12
24 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Real Pilar's more proactive style and UAI Urquiza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Pilar. Real Pilar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 61 points while UAI Urquiza sit 21 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Pilar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

UAI Urquiza Analysis

UAI Urquiza sit 21 with 35 points after 38 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 20 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 21:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Pilar Analysis

Real Pilar sit 7 with 61 points after 38 league matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 42:38 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza won 0 times, Real Pilar won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from UAI Urquiza's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
H2H summary: UAI Urquiza wins 0, draws 1, Real Pilar wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 24 9 9 69:33 36 81
L W D W L
2 42 21 14 7 56:28 28 77
D W D W L
3 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W L D W W
4 42 20 11 11 46:27 19 71
L W L D L
5 42 19 13 10 50:35 15 70
W L W D L
6 42 18 14 10 40:28 12 68
L W L D L
7 42 18 12 12 45:41 4 66
D W D L W
8 42 17 12 13 43:40 3 63
D L D D W
9 42 15 15 12 40:35 5 60
W L D D D
10 42 15 14 13 51:53 -2 59
D W W D W
11 42 12 15 15 41:46 -5 51
D L W L W
12 42 12 15 15 43:49 -6 51
L L D L W
13 42 13 11 18 39:45 -6 50
W W L L L
14 42 13 10 19 40:50 -10 49
D W W W D
15 42 11 16 15 40:55 -15 49
D L W D D
16 42 11 15 16 36:43 -7 48
W L D D W
17 42 10 17 15 33:41 -8 47
L W L D D
18 42 11 14 17 42:51 -9 47
L L L L L
19 42 10 16 16 35:41 -6 46
D W D L D
20 42 10 16 16 26:38 -12 46
W L D W D
21 42 8 21 13 28:38 -10 45
W W D W W
22 42 1 14 27 28:69 -41 17
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)