BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 72.5%
Draw 5.5%
America Mineiro Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.43
America Mineiro0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
15 GF / 17 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
10 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
9
4.46
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 13 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 13 matches
Operario-PR Statistic America Mineiro
5 Wins 1
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
15 Goals For 10
17 Goals Against 24
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
4.46 Shots On Goal 4.31
13 Total Shots 12.46
5.23 Corners 6
52.5% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Operario-PR arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 19 points compared to America Mineiro in 20 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward America Mineiro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America Mineiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and America Mineiro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR are currently 9 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (7 goals), Pablo (4 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Boschilia (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

America Mineiro Analysis

With 6 points from 13 games and a place of 20, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 10:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), F. Elizari (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (3 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 3 times, America Mineiro won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Operario-PR's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-1-4-1 / America Mineiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 3, draws 3, America Mineiro wins 3
Last matches: Operario-PR
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
Last matches: America Mineiro
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H: Operario-PR vs America Mineiro
07.09.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
24.10.24
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
06.07.24
H2H
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
2
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
0
1
L
14.08.20
H2H
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
1
1
D
05.03.20
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
0
2
L
31.08.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
0
D
26.04.19
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
H2H at home: Operario-PR
04.05.25
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
24.10.24
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
0
1
L
05.03.20
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
0
2
L
26.04.19
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
Last matches: America Mineiro
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H away: America Mineiro
04.05.25
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
L
24.10.24
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
0
1
W
05.03.20
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
0
2
W
26.04.19
H2H
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 4 2 20:10 10 25
D W D W D
2 13 7 4 2 18:12 6 25
L W W W W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 13 6 3 4 15:14 1 21
L W L W L
5 13 5 6 2 20:13 7 21
D W D W D
6 13 5 6 2 15:11 4 21
D W W D D
7 13 6 2 5 18:14 4 20
D L L W W
8 13 5 4 4 13:8 5 19
W L W L D
9 13 5 4 4 15:17 -2 19
L W W D L
10 13 4 7 2 9:6 3 19
W W W L D
11 13 4 7 2 15:13 2 19
D D W W D
12 13 5 3 5 13:18 -5 18
D L D W W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 13 4 5 4 15:15 0 17
D W L L W
15 13 4 3 6 22:23 -1 15
D L L W W
16 13 3 4 6 13:13 0 13
W L D L L
17 13 3 2 8 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
18 13 2 4 7 14:20 -6 10
L L L L L
19 13 2 2 9 10:25 -15 8
L L D L L
20 13 1 3 9 10:24 -14 6
W L L L D
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