Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
68%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Once Caldas
31 matches
Deportes Tolima
43 matches
| Once Caldas | Statistic | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 19 |
| 15 | Draws | 10 |
| 6 | Losses | 14 |
| 46 | Goals For | 54 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 5.72 | Shots On Goal | 4.63 |
| 15.24 | Total Shots | 12.63 |
| 5.24 | Corners | 4.79 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Tolima. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Once Caldas expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportes Tolima in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportes Tolima having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Once Caldas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 33 points after 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 31:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Andrés Roa (2 goals), Jefry Zapata (2 goals), Michael Barrios (1 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (2 assists), Andrés Roa (1 assists), Michael Barrios (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Deportes Tolima have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 31 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:17 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Hurtado (2 goals), Junior Hernández (1 goals), Sebastián Guzmán (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Hurtado (1 assists), Junior Hernández (1 assists), Adrián Parra (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 1 times, Deportes Tolima won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from Once Caldas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Once Caldas
Home
|
19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Away
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|