BRAZIL › SERIE B
10.05.2026 22:30
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: L. Bellote
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Luis Oyama ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Helio Borges ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
55'
Luizao ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
⚽
57'
Robson · Assist: Vinicius Paiva
Novorizontino
🔄
65'
Ze Hugo ↔ Marcio Maranhao
Botafogo SP
🔄
65'
Rafael Gava ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🔄
71'
Kelvin ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
71'
Guilherme Mariano ↔ Hebert
Botafogo SP
🟨
76'
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
Botafogo SP
🔄
83'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Marlon
Novorizontino
🔄
83'
Robson ↔ Ronald Barcellos
Novorizontino
🟨
87'
Carlinhos
Novorizontino
🟨
90+6'
Diego Galo
Novorizontino
🟨
90+2'
Rômulo
Novorizontino
🟨
90+1'
Leo Naldi
Novorizontino
🟨
90+4'
Matheus Sales
Botafogo SP
🔄
90+2'
Romulo ↔ Diego Galo
Novorizontino

Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 37.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
37.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 32.6%
Draw 29.4%
Botafogo SP Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.26
Botafogo SP1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
3
4.43
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 7 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 7 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Botafogo SP
2 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
10 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 7
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4.43 Shots On Goal 3.29
13.86 Total Shots 10.14
6.14 Corners 6.29
48% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novorizontino expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Botafogo SP in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Botafogo SP. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Novorizontino Analysis

Novorizontino sit 12 with 9 points after 7 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carlao (2 goals), Robson (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (3 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

So far, Botafogo SP have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:7 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Everton Morelli (5 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 7 times, Botafogo SP won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Novorizontino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.6%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-4-2 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 7, draws 3, Botafogo SP wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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