Novorizontino vs Avai Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.6%
|
1.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Novorizontino
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Novorizontino
25 matches
Avai
25 matches
| Novorizontino | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 12 |
| 41 | Goals For | 27 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.04 | Shots On Goal | 3.36 |
| 14.64 | Total Shots | 11.44 |
| 6 | Corners | 3.84 |
| 47.7% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Novorizontino's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Novorizontino arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 43 points compared to Avai in 16 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novorizontino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Avai in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Novorizontino approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 43 points after 25 outings. With 12 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:22, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Robson (7 goals), Rômulo (4 goals), Matheus Bianqui (3 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (7 assists), Robson (3 assists), Juninho (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 29 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 27:30 goal record continues to suggest good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking burden often falls on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 3 times, Avai won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Novorizontino's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Novorizontino
Home
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Avai
Away
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|