Novorizontino vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Novorizontino
22 matches
America Mineiro
22 matches
| Novorizontino | Statistic | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 15 |
| 32 | Goals For | 16 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.73 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.59 | Shots On Goal | 4.36 |
| 13.68 | Total Shots | 12.45 |
| 5.59 | Corners | 5.36 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Novorizontino's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America Mineiro. Novorizontino arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 33 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Novorizontino have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novorizontino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America Mineiro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Novorizontino approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 33 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 32:20 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Robson (6 goals), Rômulo (3 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (6 assists), Robson (3 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 11 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 15:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 3 times, America Mineiro won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:7 from Novorizontino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Novorizontino
Home
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Away
|
29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|