BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Janio Moraes
Nova Iguaçu
Match Timeline
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Xandinho
Nova Iguaçu
58'
Leo Muchacho
Nova Iguaçu
🟥
82'
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
90'
G. Nunes
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
🟥
90+4'
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nova Iguaçu Win 63.8%
Draw 11.8%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nova Iguaçu0.7
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu
WWDLW
3 GF / 8 GA
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 6 matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 6 matches
Nova Iguaçu Statistic Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
8 Goals Against 6
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sampaio Corrêa RJ having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Sampaio Corrêa RJ carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 8 points while Nova Iguaçu sit 6 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nova Iguaçu Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Nova Iguaçu have collected 3 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Augusto (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Analysis

Sampaio Corrêa RJ arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 8 points after 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Nova Iguaçu won 9 times, Sampaio Corrêa RJ won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Nova Iguaçu's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: Nova Iguaçu wins 9, draws 2, Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins 2
Last matches: Nova Iguaçu
08.07.26
Fri
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
1
6
L
07.06.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
XV de Piracicaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Velo Clube
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Velo Clube
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
XV de Piracicaba
1
4
L
26.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Água Santa
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
1
3
L
05.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Boavista SC
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Portuguesa
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Portuguesa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Boavista SC
2
1
W
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: Nova Iguaçu vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
16.05.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
25.04.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
L
08.03.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
0
W
23.02.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
15.01.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
3
W
15.01.25
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
18.01.24
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
06.02.21
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
20.01.21
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
W
16.12.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
1
W
12.12.20
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
3
3
D
24.10.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
0
W
26.09.20
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
2
1
L
Last matches: Nova Iguaçu
07.06.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
XV de Piracicaba
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Velo Clube
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
1
3
L
05.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Portuguesa
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Boavista SC
2
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Água Santa
1
2
L
H2H at home: Nova Iguaçu
16.05.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
08.03.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
0
W
15.01.25
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
18.01.24
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
06.02.21
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
16.12.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
1
W
24.10.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
0
W
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
H2H away: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
16.05.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
L
08.03.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
0
L
15.01.25
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
L
18.01.24
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
L
06.02.21
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
L
16.12.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
1
L
24.10.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)