Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nottingham Forest
54 matches
Bournemouth
38 matches
| Nottingham Forest | Statistic | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 13 |
| 14 | Draws | 18 |
| 21 | Losses | 7 |
| 74 | Goals For | 59 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 42 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.74 | Shots On Goal | 4.89 |
| 13.74 | Total Shots | 13.92 |
| 5.35 | Corners | 5.63 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bournemouth's more proactive style and Nottingham Forest's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bournemouth. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nottingham Forest expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Bournemouth in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bournemouth having the stronger overall control. Bournemouth carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 56 points while Nottingham Forest sit 16 on 43, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
With 43 points from 37 games and a place of 16, Nottingham Forest still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 47:50 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Gibbs-White (14 goals), Igor Jesus (6 goals), E. Anderson (4 goals), with creative support from M. Gibbs-White (4 assists), Igor Jesus (4 assists), E. Anderson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 37 matches, Bournemouth have collected 56 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 13 wins, 17 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 57:53 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Semenyo (16 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (13 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from M. Senesi (5 assists), A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Forest won 2 times, Bournemouth won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from Nottingham Forest's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bournemouth
Away
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
Home
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|