ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.05.2026 15:00
City Ground
Referee: C. Pawson
Nottingham Forest
Match Timeline
Bournemouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
James Hill
Bournemouth
⚽
34'
M. Gibbs-White · Assist: O. Hutchinson
Nottingham Forest
⚽
54'
M. Tavernier · Assist: A. Truffert
Bournemouth
🔄
57'
A. Toth ↔ B. Gannon-Doak
Bournemouth
🔄
62'
C. Wood ↔ T. Awoniyi
Nottingham Forest
🔄
63'
Cunha ↔ L. Netz
Nottingham Forest
🔄
65'
E. Anderson ↔ R. Yates
Nottingham Forest
🔄
65'
I. Sangare ↔ N. Dominguez
Nottingham Forest
🟨
66'
Taiwo Awoniyi
Nottingham Forest
🔄
73'
Evanilson ↔ E. Unal
Bournemouth
🔄
73'
E. J. Kroupi ↔ J. Kluivert
Bournemouth
🔄
73'
Rayan ↔ A. Adli
Bournemouth
🔄
78'
O. Hutchinson ↔ J. McAtee
Nottingham Forest
🔄
90'
A. Smith ↔ L. Cook
Bournemouth

Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nottingham Forest Win 39.6%
Draw 8.7%
Bournemouth Win 51.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nottingham Forest1.4
Bournemouth1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
WWDLW
74 GF / 69 GA
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WLDWL
59 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
24
BTTS Yes
25
30
Over 2.5
22
4.74
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 54 matches
Bournemouth Bournemouth 38 matches
Nottingham Forest Statistic Bournemouth
19 Wins 13
14 Draws 18
21 Losses 7
74 Goals For 59
69 Goals Against 55
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
24 BTTS Yes 25
42 Over 1.5 29
30 Over 2.5 22
15 Over 3.5 17
16 Clean Sheets 11
18 Failed To Score 7
4.74 Shots On Goal 4.89
13.74 Total Shots 13.92
5.35 Corners 5.63
48.9% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bournemouth's more proactive style and Nottingham Forest's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bournemouth. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nottingham Forest expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Bournemouth in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bournemouth having the stronger overall control. Bournemouth carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 56 points while Nottingham Forest sit 16 on 43, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Nottingham Forest Analysis

With 43 points from 37 games and a place of 16, Nottingham Forest still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 47:50 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Gibbs-White (14 goals), Igor Jesus (6 goals), E. Anderson (4 goals), with creative support from M. Gibbs-White (4 assists), Igor Jesus (4 assists), E. Anderson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bournemouth Analysis

From their first 37 matches, Bournemouth have collected 56 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 13 wins, 17 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 57:53 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Semenyo (16 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (13 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from M. Senesi (5 assists), A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Forest won 2 times, Bournemouth won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from Nottingham Forest's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Nottingham Forest 4-4-2 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Nottingham Forest 6, Bournemouth 3
H2H summary: Nottingham Forest wins 2, draws 5, Bournemouth wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship