Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newells Old Boys
18 matches
Boca Juniors
29 matches
| Newells Old Boys | Statistic | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 16 | Goals For | 37 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.72 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.47 | Shots On Goal | 4.71 |
| 10.29 | Total Shots | 13.38 |
| 3.71 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 43.2% | Ball Possession | 59.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Boca Juniors's more proactive style and Newells Old Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Boca Juniors. Boca Juniors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Newells Old Boys sit 14 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Newells Old Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Boca Juniors in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boca Juniors having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Newells Old Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), Walter Mazzantti (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), Jerónimo Gómez Mattar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 16 games, Boca Juniors bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 22:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Milton Giménez (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), Alan Velasco (2 goals), with creative support from Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Tomás Aranda (2 assists), Exequiel Zeballos (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys won 2 times, Boca Juniors won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:21 from Newells Old Boys's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
Platense
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Huracan
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
River Plate
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
Lanus
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Platense
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
River Plate
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
Lanus
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
Away
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Newells Old Boys
Home
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
W
D
W
L
L
|