ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Newells Old Boys Win 40.8%
Draw 19.5%
Banfield Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newells Old Boys1.02
Banfield1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
WWDLW
21 GF / 34 GA
Banfield Banfield
WLDWL
27 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
11
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
3.29
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 22 matches
Banfield Banfield 24 matches
Newells Old Boys Statistic Banfield
5 Wins 8
7 Draws 6
10 Losses 10
21 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 27
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 8
3.29 Shots On Goal 3.71
9.76 Total Shots 11.95
3.95 Corners 3.57
44.3% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Newells Old Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Banfield in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Banfield having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Banfield.

Newells Old Boys Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Newells Old Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 15:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Matías Cóccaro (2 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), Facundo Guch (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Banfield Analysis

Banfield are currently 12 in the standings with 18 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 17:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tiziano Perrotta (3 goals), Bruno Sepúlveda (1 goals), Neyder Moreno (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Abraham (1 assists), Santiago López Garcia (1 assists), David Zalazar (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys won 3 times, Banfield won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Newells Old Boys's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
Predicted formations: Newells Old Boys 4-2-3-1 / Banfield 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Newells Old Boys wins 3, draws 4, Banfield wins 6
Last matches: Newells Old Boys
15.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
09.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
31.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
0
1
L
25.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
3
2
W
12.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
1
W
29.03.26
Cop
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
0
5
L
11.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Platense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
0
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
3
L
16.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
2
3
L
01.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
Last matches: Banfield
19.08.26
Cop
Banfield
Midland
2
2
D
14.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Racing Club
1
0
W
10.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
28.07.26
Lig
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
3
2
W
25.07.26
Lig
Banfield
Huracan
0
1
L
09.05.26
Cop
Banfield
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Banfield
Barracas Central
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
13.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Lanus
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Argentinos JRS
2
3
L
26.03.26
Cop
Banfield
Real Pilar
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Tigre
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Rosario Central
1
2
L
11.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Aldosivi
2
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
Banfield
River Plate
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Racing Club
0
2
L
H2H: Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
21.02.26
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
3
0
L
20.07.25
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
2
L
27.01.25
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
3
0
L
04.06.24
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
2
0
L
19.02.23
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
2
0
W
04.06.22
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
1
2
W
20.04.22
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
0
W
07.12.21
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
0
D
19.04.20
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
0
0
D
04.10.19
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
0
D
06.04.19
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
04.03.18
H2H
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
1
0
L
03.12.16
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
2
L
30.05.15
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
1
D
Last matches: Newells Old Boys
15.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
25.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
29.03.26
Cop
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Platense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
0
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
2
3
L
28.01.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
1
1
D
H2H at home: Newells Old Boys
20.07.25
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
2
L
19.02.23
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
2
0
W
20.04.22
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
0
W
07.12.21
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
0
D
04.10.19
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
0
D
03.12.16
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
2
L
30.05.15
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
1
D
Last matches: Banfield
14.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Racing Club
1
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
25.07.26
Lig
Banfield
Huracan
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Banfield
Barracas Central
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
13.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Lanus
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Argentinos JRS
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Rosario Central
1
2
L
26.02.26
Lig
Banfield
River Plate
1
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
L
30.01.26
Lig
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
0
1
L
H2H away: Banfield
20.07.25
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
2
W
19.02.23
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
2
0
L
20.04.22
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
0
L
07.12.21
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
0
D
04.10.19
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
0
D
03.12.16
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
2
W
30.05.15
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
1
1
D

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D D W D L
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D D W W W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L L W W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
L W L L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W L D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W L W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D W L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L W W L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W L D L W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L W L L W
Knockout Phase