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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
02.12.2026 20:00
St. James' Park

Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.48
Manchester United1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Manchester United Manchester United
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
10
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
6
3.6
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 12 matches
Manchester United Manchester United 12 matches
Newcastle Statistic Manchester United
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
19 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 16
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
10 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
3.6 Shots On Goal 6.33
10.2 Total Shots 22.33
4.4 Corners 7.17
49% Ball Possession 59.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 6 times, Manchester United won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Newcastle's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 6, draws 2, Manchester United wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship