IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
09.10.2026 18:45
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 0%
Draw 0%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.12
St Patrick's Athl.1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City Derry City
WWDLW
49 GF / 52 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
58 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
23
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
13
4
Shots on Goal
5.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derry City Derry City 38 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 35 matches
Derry City Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
9 Wins 18
14 Draws 9
15 Losses 8
49 Goals For 58
52 Goals Against 30
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
23 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 27
19 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 10
4 Shots On Goal 5.34
11.5 Total Shots 15.88
4.92 Corners 5.38
46.9% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 7 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Derry City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derry City 3-4-3 / St Patrick's Athl. 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Derry City wins 7, draws 5, St Patrick's Athl. wins 3

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 31 9 12 10 41:44 -3 39
W L L D D
7 31 9 10 12 41:47 -6 37
L W L D W
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation