Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 0%
Draw 0%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.1
St Patrick's Athl.1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City
WWDLW
42 GF / 47 GA
St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
51 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
21
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
12
3.91
Shots on Goal
5.18
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
34 matches
St Patrick's Athl.
31 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | St Patrick's Athl. |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 15 |
| 12 | Draws | 9 |
| 15 | Losses | 7 |
| 42 | Goals For | 51 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 5.18 |
| 11.09 | Total Shots | 16.04 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 7 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Derry City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derry City 4-3-3 / St Patrick's Athl. 3-5-2
H2H summary: Derry City wins 7, draws 5, St Patrick's Athl. wins 3
Last matches: Derry City
21.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
3
5
L
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
21.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
H2H: Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.
02.08.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
22.05.26
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
16.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
29.08.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
23.06.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
W
05.05.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
03.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
2
0
L
25.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
W
17.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
W
22.04.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
W
01.03.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
W
03.11.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
05.06.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
4
1
L
Last matches: Derry City
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
H2H at home: Derry City
22.05.26
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
29.08.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
05.05.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
W
22.04.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
W
01.03.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
W
03.11.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
21.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Bray Wanderers
3
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
2
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
2
0
W
H2H away: St Patrick's Athl.
22.05.26
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
29.08.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
05.05.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
L
22.04.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
L
01.03.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
L
03.11.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 54 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Away
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 22 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:34 | 13 | 47 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 37 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | -2 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 33 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37:48 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:45 | -22 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation